October 2008 Archives

Newly minted CENTCOM commander Gen. David Petraeus gets a chance to see if his Iraq magic has any chance of working elsewhere next week, when he travels to Islamabad amid a swirl of negotiations aimed at getting the Taliban to halt its Afghan insurgency.

According to some reports, the U.S. itself is ready to talk directly with the Taliban in hopes  of driving a wedge between it and al Qaeda, which it has hosted since the 1990s. 

But while the Taliban was talking in the Pakistani capital this week, its fighters were striking in Afghanistan's capital, in a brazen attack on the Ministry of Culture in the heart of Kabul. 

According to some reports, Saudi Arabia had already quietly brokered talks between the Pakistanis and the Taliban, who were said to be tiring of the al Qaeda Arabs led by Osama bin Laden. 

Heck of a Blog, Brownie

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Michael D. Brown, last seen screwing up emergency responses to Hurricane Katrina, is blogging like a  maniac.

And, in somewhat of a surprise, the former FEMA chief is railing against the new police searches of subway riders in Washington, D.C.
Ahmed Chalabi, the erstwhile Iraqi exile who intrigued with Pentagon officials and the media to create a casus belli for toppling Saddam Hussein, is up to his old tricks.

Chalabi's star plunged when it turned out Iraq had no weapons of mass destruction, as the steady stream of informants he served up to the U.S. media maintained.  

After the 2003 occupation, the crafty Shiite's effort to play a leading, if not top, role in Iraqi politics ended in humility when he won few votes at the polls. He did snag fleeting positions, as a deputy prime minister, oil minister and then the official in charge of rebuilding the capital's utilities.

But in part because of suspicions that he was an Iranian secret agent, U.S. defense officials, American commanders in Iraq, and even his neoconservative champions began to shun him.

A Pentagon investigation did not end in charges being filed, but in May, NBC reported that U.S. officials had "cut off all contact with controversial Iraqi politician Ahmed Chalabi, the former favorite of Washington's once powerful neoconservatives," because of "unauthorized contacts with Iran's government."

Chalabi faded from the international spotlight, but now he's back in action big time, says Aram Roston, an NBC investigative reporter and author of "The Man Who Pushed America to War: The Extraordinary Life, Adventures, and Obsessions of Ahmad Chalabi." 
Tell me Ray Odierno is pulling a Halloween stunt.

He can't be serious: Does the general really think that by shouting "Boo!" in The Washington Post that Iran and its agents in Baghdad are going to run away?

The joke's on him. Baghdad politicians have gone into high Inspector Renault mode over the U.S. commander's charge that some Iraqi politicians are on the payroll of Iran.

Well, what a shock. Next you'll tell us mullahs wear turbans.

Ray, Ray, Ray: Think this through.  Bribes are beside the point. Most Iraqi Shia politicians don't need to be paid. That's just hummus.

Many of them, including our handpicked Prime Minister, Nuri al-Maliki, welcome what sometimes looks like a slow-motion anschluss by their Iranian co-religionists.

Others say the Iraqis -- Arabs -- will never forfeit their patriotism to the Persian-Iranians in the interest of advancing shia hegemony. The two fought each other to a bloody pulp for most of the 1980s.

Still, it's a powerful force. To many shia, it's 1,400 years overdue: The Sunnis kept them down for centuries. Now the Shiites finally have the Sunni boot off their necks, thanks in no small measure to us, and they're not going to lie down under it again.

Iran is going to have a powerful say in Iraqi affairs, no less than we have a say in Mexico's -- and probably a lot more. 

Too bad for you, General, that Maliki & Co. were made a "sovereign" power by the Bush administration. Now they're taking it seriously. They're threatening to throw us out if we don't drop our insistence on prohibiting the Iraqi prosecution of Americans accused of criminal wrongdoing.

Odierno, in response, threatened that $6.3 billion in U.S. bilateral aid and $10 billion worth of military sales could be cut off without a finalized status-of-forces agreement by the end of the year.

Another big "boo." The Iraqis could call Odierno's bluff without breaking a sweat.

What a mess. The current kerfuffle is just the latest manifestation of the Bush administration's strategic blunder in so quickly toppling Iran's archenemy, the Sunni dictator Saddam Hussein, after chasing the Sunni Taliban from power in Afghanistan.

Now the Iranians are poised to make Baghdad into their satrap via their U.S.-backed mates.  Does that define terrible irony or what?

And there's not much Ray Odierno can do about it. Like King Canute, he's shouting at the incoming tide.
After first denying that an American raiding party had crossed into Syria, the U.S. command now admits that it sent U.S. Special Forces in hot pursuit of armed Islamist militants who have been using Syria as a sanctuary.

Indeed, it's now claiming  that one of those captured in the raid was was Abu Ghadiya,  "the senior leader of al Qaeda's extensive network that funnels foreign fighters, weapons, and cash from Syria into Iraq," according to an unidentified senior intelligence official.

According to the Long War Journal's Bill Roggio

The raid to capture Ghadiya occurred in the town of Sukkariya near Abu Kamal in eastern Syria, just five miles from the Iraqi border. Four US helicopters crossed the border and two of the helicopters landed to drop off special operations forces, who then proceeded to clear structures.

[Update: A CIA team led the raid, McClatchy reported.]

Last week U.S. Maj. Gen. John Kelly, who is responsible for Anbar province, which extends from Baghdad to the Syrian border, turned up the volume on a longstanding complaint that Syria had become "a sanctuary" for Al Qaeda in Iraq.

"Has the Syrian border stopped you from going after insurgents?" Kelly was asked in an interview  which didn't appear -- a bit awkwardly -- until Monday, in US News & World Report.

"We don't go across the border," Kelly said, "for sure."

Right. Let's call that inoperative.

A right-wing Jewish organization that backs John McCain is flooding mailboxes in the key battleground state of Virginia with an Israeli-made film that equates some Muslims with Nazis.

A man in Springfield, Va., whose family originates in South Asia, told us he was offended by the DVD, especially when it arrived in his mailbox again and again - seven times in all, he said.

"Obsession: Radical Islam's War Against the West," intercuts scenes of Islamist terrorist attacks with old film of Nazi rallies and contemporary footage of Muslim children reciting poetry celebrating suicide bombings.

"They should have a warning on them about the explicit violence," said the South Asian man, who is married with two young children.  He asked not to be identified for fear of upsetting his neighbors in his largely Republican neighborhood.

"My children pick up any DVD that's lying around and put it on," said the man. "It stereotypes all Muslims as ignorant and backward. I found it personally offensive, but I certainly don't want my children seeing that stuff."

Some 22 million DVDs were also delivered to homes via newspaper inserts in "100 local newspapers, with distribution concentrated in political swing states like Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Nevada," Seth Hettena reported in Columbia Journalism Review.

"Obsession" was produced by Israeli filmmaker Raphael Shore, who is one of three officers of the Clarion Fund, which is sponsoring the Virginia mailings.  Adding mystery to the project, pseudonyms were used for two of the film's financial backers, because, Shore maintains, they feared reprisals by radical Muslims.

"'Obsession' gives the picture that unfortunately no one else does,"  Shore told the Israeli newspaper Haaretz back in June. "The average viewer tries to understand the conflict. It's difficult to connect all the dots and 'Obsession' does just that. It gives a coherence to a problem that people have been grappling with."

The Clarion Fund and associatyed groups are skirting the ban on nonprofit organizations backing political candidates, according to The Washington Post.

"One of the Clarion Fund's Web sites, http://www.radicalislam.com, posted an article two weeks ago that stated, 'McCain's policies seek to confront radical Islamic extremism and terrorism and roll it back while Obama's, although intending to do the same, could in fact make the situation facing the West even worse,'" the Post reported.

The article has since been pulled down, "but its Web site still links readers to a vast network of sites that promote McCain," The Post reported.

"Aside from the content itself, a number of other factors related to the film have fueled the flames of controversy," Haaretz reporter Daphna Berman wrote, singling out its "largely Jewish and pro-Israel distribution network."

The FBI said today that it had investigated over 900 threats made with envelopes containing white powder probably meant to look like anthrax.

"Interesting enough, over the past two-years, the FBI has responded to over 900 of these threat letters," said FBI spokesman Rich Kolko. 

"And when I say they've responded to the threat letters, that means there has to be a threat letter with the powder. " Kolko said in a podcast posted online. 

"We've all heard of those innocent ones where someone spills some sugar on the table and someone calls the police. I'm not even counting those. But that means this has been a large problem across the country for the last few years."

On Thursday the FBI appealed to the public for help with finding the perpetrator who has been sending banks, financial institutions and federal agencies threat letters and powder-stuffed envelopes.

The New York Times also received a threatening letter with powder, but it was deemed not connected to envelopes directed at institutions involved with the mortgage crisis. 

"If you recognize the writing style or if something makes you think it could be tied to someone you are familiar with, we want you to pick up the phone, call the FBI; go to fbi.gov where you can submit an anonymous tip; call the postal inspectors; local police; whatever it takes," Kolko said Friday.

"Try and get that information to us. And very importantly, just on Wednesday the postal inspectors offered a $100,000 reward."

The FBI made an unusual public appeal Thursday for citizen help with finding out who is sending threatening letters in envelopes sprinkled with white powder to financial institutions across the country.

 

"(W) e're releasing photographs of one of the letters and its envelope in the hopes that you might be able to help us solve the case." The FBI said.

 

 "Study the images, and see if you recognize the phrasing of the letter, the envelope label, or any other clue that you think might help investigators."

 

The U.S. Postal Inspection Service, it added, is offering a reward of up to $100,000 for any information leading to the arrest and conviction of the person or persons responsible.

 

"What you just breathed in will kill you within 10 days," the letters say, in large, machine-printed type.

 

But so far the powder, which apparently is designed to look like anthrax, "appears to be harmless," the FBI said.

 

"So far, we've identified more than 50 letters, nearly all of which use threatening language identical to the text shown above." the FBI appeal said. "The letters have all been mailed from Texas and postmarked at Amarillo."

 

"The letters have been sent to at least 11 states, including Arizona, California, Colorado, Georgia, Illinois, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas, and Virginia," it said.

 

Institutions receiving the letters have included the Chase Bank; the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the U.S. Office of Thrift Supervision, which regulates all federal and many state thrift institutions.

The charge that American diplomats are pro-Arab and anti-Israel has a hoary tradition, dating back to the Truman and Eisenhower eras, when U.S. foreign policy was in the hands of such oil-connected plutocrats as Allen and John Foster Dulles, the heads of the CIA and State Department, respectively. 

And despite the decades-long strategic alliance between Israel and U.S. administrations dating back to the Kennedy presidency,  the idea persists that oil interests continue to grease Middle East policies among top officials.

 A particularly pungent iteration of such views arose this week from a somewhat prominent former senior CIA operations officer.

Clare M. Lopez, who spent 20 years as an operative in Africa, Latin America and the Balkans,  charged in an interview that  "a terrible strain of anti-Semitism...has taken root and grown in the ranks of our State Department and CIA in particular."

"U.S. Middle East policy is woefully misguided, in my opinion. How could it be otherwise?" Lopzez said in an interview with the Canada Free Press web site.  

"Thirty-five years of graduates from Saudi-Wahhabi-Salafi-funded Ivy League Middle East Studies programs now occupy top positions throughout our Department of State, Intelligence Community, think tanks, media, and academia itself," Lopez said.

Lopez's accusation that Saudi money underwrites numerous academic programs and think tanks, and that U.S. ambassadors in the Middle East have a track record of going to work as Saudi lobbyists when they retire, is undeniable, as I documented here in 2006.  (See "American Diplomats Tend to Become Saudi Lobbyists -- but Maybe Not for Much Longer.") 

But Lopez, who has been active in lobbying for a more aggressive policy against Iran and consulting on intelligence issues with private U.S. government contractors,  seems to be adding explosives to the charge.

Top foreign policy officials, including Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice,  she alleged, "do not really believe in the defense of liberal democracy -- and most especially if that liberal democracy is embodied in a Jewish State of Israel."

Lopez continued,  "There is a terrible strain of anti-Semitism that has taken root and grown in the ranks of our State Department and CIA in particular - again, perhaps the result of all those years of Saudi-Wahhabi indoctrination in our top universities. But the result is clear: Condi's readiness to throw Israel under a bus at Annapolis last November [2007]; the Bush administration's refusal to deal with Iran, despite a lot of soaring rhetoric, and now, a real and perceptible diminishment in the bilateral commitment."

The State Department did not respond to a request for comment.

But CIA spokesman Paul Gimigliano called Lopez's views "bizarre."

"While the website on which the statement appears describes the remarks as 'unedited,' I would -- in reference to this claim -- add the adjectives 'incorrect,' 'bizarre,' and 'offensive.' That's all the comment this kind of smear deserves."

Asked by e-mail to name other  allegedly "anti-Semitic" officials beyond Rice, Lopez responded, "I do not have any names to give you."

"It is more a perception of policy ... [that officials] are more than ready to throw Israel under the bus and make overtures instead to the enemies of the State of Israel and Jewish people everywhere," she said.

As for whether she cared to tone down her charge that top U.S. foreign policy and intelligence officials are prejudiced against Jews, Lopez declined.

"It is my perception that the antipathy goes well beyond merely a political turn of policy vs. Israel," she maintained.
It snuck up on cat's feet -- a modest press release here, a short news announcement there.

But overnight, it seems, DC Capital Partners has become an intelligence and security powerhouse.

The firm, with offices downtown and in Alexandria, Va., was founded in 1988 by venture capitalist Thomas J. Campbell as a private equity investment company. Since then it has expanded from capitalizing middle market firms with military contracts into acquiring major players in U.S. intelligence and counterterrorism consulting.

Its board includes heavy hitters like Richard Armitage, the former deputy Secretary of State, Eric Shinseki,  the Army chief of staff who clashed with Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld over troop needs for an invasion of Iraq, Jeffrey Smith, former general counsel of the CIA, and Henry Crumpton, the State Department's former counterterrorism coordinator.

But its recent hiring of Jose Rodriguez, the controversial former head of the CIA's National Clandestine Service, signaled that DCCP had gone big-time into the spook world, with its tentacles deeply wound up in the work of U.S. intelligence agencies and the departments of defense, energy and homeland security. 

The new issue of Intelligence Online, the Paris-based newsletter, has a chart showing the hydra-headed conglomerate.
The Marines stationed at Beirut airport in 1983 could have had plenty of time to prepare for the suicide bomber that struck with devastating consequences 25 years ago this week, their commander says.

But the eavesdropping National Security Agency's intercept of an Iranian telephone call that gave the order got stuck "in the intelligence pipeline."

In all, 241 Marines, soldiers and sailors died in the Oct. 23, 1983 attack.

"Unknown to us at the time, the National Security Agency had made a diplomatic communications intercept on 26 September ...  in which the Iranian Intelligence Service provided explicit instructions to the Iranian ambassador in Damascus (a known terrorist) to attack the Marines at Beirut International Airport," says Marine Col. Colonel Timothy J. Geraghty, writing in the latest issue of Proceedings, a publication of the U.S. Naval Institute.

"The suicide attackers struck us 28 days later, with word of the intercept stuck in the intelligence pipeline until days after the attack."

The two bombings - French paratroopers would be struck two minutes later, with the loss of 58 lives  - will be marked with a candlelight vigil at dawn Thursday in North Carolina, where a Beirut memorial is etched with the names of the fallen.

A different kind of ceremony will mark the bombings in Tehran, writes Geraghty, who also spent seven years in the CIA's Special Operations Group.

"In the Iranian Behesht-E-Zahra cemetery in southern Tehran, there will also be a ceremony at a monument erected in 2004 to commemorate the Beirut suicide bombers. In attendance will likely be some dressed as suicide bombers, chanting the standard 'death to America' and 'death to Israel.'"
In paying solemn tribute to the fallen men of his 24th Marine Amphibious Group, Geraghty also rues that President Ronald Reagan had abandoned America's military neutrality in the raging Lebanese civil war.

"It is noteworthy that the United States provided direct naval gunfire support -- which I strongly opposed for a week -- to the Lebanese Army at a mountain village called Suq-al-Garb on 19 September and that the French conducted an air strike on 23 September in the Bekaa Valley," he writes.
"American support removed any lingering doubts of our neutrality, and I stated to my staff at the time that we were going to pay in blood for this decision."

The attacks, which went unanswered by U.S. military action, "became a turning point in the unbounded use of terrorism by radical Islamic fanatics worldwide," Geraghty writes.
Anyone who doubts Al Qaeda still has designs on unleashing a chemical, biological or radiological weapon upon the West should find the career of Muhammed Moumou, killed in a gun battle with U.S. troops this month, instructive.

Moumou, the Moroccan-born Swedish citizen who operated under several aliases, was reputedly the top Sunni insurgent leader in Iraq when his luck finally ran out in Mosul Oct. 5. He had been arrested in Denmark years back but then deported to Sweden, where he slipped loose again. 

You had to read all the way to the bottom of news accounts about his death, however, for what may have ben the most chilling item on his resume: According to a Dec. 7, 2006 U.S. Treasury Department report, he was AQI's European liaison on chemical and biological weapons.

And, according former CIA operative Charles "Sam" Faddis, he was also a part of Ansar al Islam,  the Al Qaeda affiliate in Kurdish Iraq in 2002-2003, many of whose members escaped because of Pentagon dithering.
 
"This is the organization which we had in our sights in the Summer of 2002, but which the Bush Administration failed to act against. When we finally went in about eight/nine months later, it was too late. Everyone saw the attack coming, and the top targets had fled," Faddis told me.
Anyone who doubts Al Qaeda still has designs on unleashing a chemical, biological or radiological weapon upon the West should find the career of Muhammed Moumou, killed in a gun battle with U.S. troops this month, instructive.

Moumou, the Moroccan-born Swedish citizen who operated under several aliases, was reputedly the top Sunni insurgent leader in Iraq when his luck finally ran out in Mosul Oct. 5. He had been arrested in Denmark years back but then deported to Sweden, where he slipped loose again. 

You had to read all the way to the bottom of news accounts about his death, however, for what may have ben the most chilling item on his resume: According to a Dec. 7, 2006 U.S. Treasury Department report, he was AQI's European liaison on chemical and biological weapons.

And, according former CIA operative Charles "Sam" Faddis, he was also a part of Ansar al Islam,  the Al Qaeda affiliate in Kurdish Iraq in 2002-2003, many of whose members escaped because of Pentagon dithering.
 
"This is the organization which we had in our sights in the Summer of 2002, but which the Bush Administration failed to act against. When we finally went in about eight/nine months later, it was too late. Everyone saw the attack coming, and the top targets had fled," Faddis told me.
People with a heartbeat will remember how the Air Force gave new meaning to loose nukes in August 2007, when an AF crew in North Dakota mistakenly loaded a half dozen warheads on a B-52, which flew off to Louisiana blithely clueless about its hot cargo. Nobody missed them for hours.

The Air Force is still smarting from that incident, which may have prompted it to get a better handle on its death ray weapons.

It's published a new manual on the handling of Directed Energy Weapons, or DEWS in Air Force lingo.

Death rays by any other name, the DEWS "include, but are not limited to, high-energy lasers, weaponized microwave and millimeter wave beams, explosive-driven electromagnetic pulse devices, acoustic weapons, laser induced plasma channel systems, non-lethal directed energy devices, and atomic-scale and subatomic particle beam weapons," manual instructs.
 
They "create unique hazards that are different from conventional and nuclear weapons," says the manual,  whose publication was was first reported by Steve Aftergood, editor of Secrecy News.

Indeed, some DEWS use ionizing radiation, which can scramble a person's DNA, the manual advises. 

And watch where you point that that thing, it says. There way be "effects due to beam drifting and failure to achieve pointing accuracy and to maintain pointing stability."

Could DEWS be the new secret counterterrrorism weapon Bob Woodward hinted at? 

Of course, there may arise "situations of urgent military need where the operational necessity outweighs the operational risk," the Air Force says. Who has time for elaborate safety folderol when the enemy's coming over the wall?

In that case, "If EOC is requested by combatant commands, the PM will submit a certification waiver through the MAJCOM to HQ AFSC/SEW for AF/SE coordination and will be forwarded to the Vice Chief of Staff of the Air Force for approval."

Everybody got that?

UPDATE: Danger Room's Sharon Weinberger discovers that the Pentagon's controversial "pain ray," a directed energy weapon that creates an intense burning sensation designed to repel a potential enemy, is far from safe in untrained hands.   
Don't hold your breath waiting for those Pentagon-coached TV commentators to come clean any time soon.

Although the Federal Communications Commission set a deadline of Nov. 3  for the military talking heads to answer questionnaires about their murky relations with Pentagon briefers, contractors and the news networks, it's not likely any further details will surface soon -- or ever.

Once the questionnaires are handed in, then FCC investigators are obliged to see if any laws were broken by the failure of CNN, Fox, MSNBC, other news programs and the commentators to disclose to viewers that their opinions on the Iraq War,  conditions at Guantamamo and other  military subjects were being piped by Pentagon briefers.

The Pentagon inspector general is also looking into the matter, spurred by Democratic Reps. John Dingell (Michigan)  and Rosa DeLauro (Conn.), who demanded answers last May following a New York Times report on an alleged secret Pentagon program to manipulate public opinion.

In addition, while the commentators were, for the most part, lauding military and counterterrorism operations, they were also working or bidding on Pentagon contracts and taking free rides to Iraq, according to reports.

It's a sin of omission, Dingell and DeLauro said.  
  
"When seemingly objective television commentators are in fact highly motivated to promote the agenda of a government agency, a gross violation of the public trust occurs," they wrote to the IG. 

To encourage the IG, the FY 2009 Defense Authorization bill (S 301) also includes a requirement that it provide Congress with a report and a legal opinion on whether the program violated past law included in appropriations measures.
 
But at least one military analyst says he won't cooperate. 

Jed Babbin, editor of the conservative Human Events magazine, who has supported the Iraq War but been a frequent critic of President Bush,  told US News & World Report columnist Paul Bedard last month that,  "If they were trying to buy me for good coverage, they got a lousy deal."  
The Pentagon has been struggling with what to spend money on in light of the coming financial squeeze, and now they have made their choice...everything!

As my CQ colleague Josh Rogin reports today, Pentagon officials have prepared a secret budget estimate that they plan to spring on the next president right before they leave town.

It's only $450 billion more than the apparently disingenuous number they put out last February.

With the economy circling the bowl, the next commander-in-chief might want to cast it aside. 

But he would have to pay a political price -- and that's the point.

"This is a political document," said one former senior budget official, who spoke on condition of anonymity. 

"It sets up the new administration immediately to have to make a decision of how to deal with the perception that they are either cutting defense or adding to it."

The Defense Department's comptroller's office declined to dispute the numbers. 

Cdr. Darryn James, a Pentagon spokesman, said it was "premature to discuss future budgets because they were still being worked on."
A senior Bush administration official Thursday left open the possibility that American and other oil companies who want to do business with Muammar el-Qaddafi are secretly paying off his debt to victims of the Pan Am 103 and Labelle discotheque bombings.

The Bush administration, pressured by Congress, has made full satisfaction of the $1.5 billion debt a prerequisite for restoring full diplomatic and commercial relations with Libya, which renounced its pursuit of nuclear weapons in 2003. 

The payments were supposed to be completed in September, but a first installment arrived "just ... overnight," David C. Welch, Assistant Secretary of State for Near East Affairs, said during a hastily arranged telephone conference Thursday with reporters.
 
Welch would not say how much was paid, who it came from, where it was deposited,  or when the balance would be forthcoming.

According to Kara Weipz, President of Victims of Pan Am Flight 103, "a third of the money was deposited in the fund today," but that could not be immediatey corroborated. 

The Libyans were supposed to pay into a "humanitarian fund" set up expressly for this purpose, as well as to pay compensation Qaddafi demanded for deaths and damage inflicted by U.S. jets that attacked Libya in response to the 1986 discotheque bombing.

But Libya has now side-stepped that requirement with a mystery payment on its behalf.

Welch said he was refusing to disclose the amount paid on Libya's behalf, deposited in a "U.S.-controlled" bank account, because "I think there's a high level of interest in the claimant community in these issues.  And we don't want to, you know, provoke any anxiety or infighting among them about it. "

Relatives of the victims of Libyan terrorism have been suing for years to get the remainder of the money promised them.  

Welch, a longtime specialist in Arab affairs, maintained that he did not know where the money came from, except that it was on Libya's behalf. 

"This initial deposit was - came from the Libyan side directly into the Account, 'A,' as we call it, for the American claimants," Welch said, adding that he was aware the Libyans had been asking oil companies to pony up.

"I don't know the provenance of it," he said of the deposit 

In response to a question Welch said, "Well, you know, the fund itself can receive contributions from anyplace. It's always been considered to be a voluntary fund."

He called the amount "a substantial indication of their commitment.... by today's standards .. a low risk mortgage down payment, if you understand what I mean." 

In a speech last April, Qaddafi bragged about making oil companies pay his debt.

"What we gave with our right hand, we took back with our left hand," he laughed in a widely circulated video

All 259 passengers and crew, including 180 Americans, and 11 people on the ground in  Lockerbie, Scotland, were killed in the 1989  Pam Am 103 bombing. Three people, including two American soldiers, were killed and 230 wounded in the 1986 Berlin disco attack. 

Libya eventually admitted responsibility for both.

Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg, D-N.J, has placed a hold on President Bush's nomination of Gene Cretz to be U.S. ambassador to Libya until all the money has been paid. Because of the Jewish holiday he was not available to comment on Welch's announcement, an aide said.

In the near future computers should make users scan their palms and retinas before letting them in, Homeland Security Department chief Michael Chertoff suggested Wednesday.

Passwords and Social Security numbers are already antiquated, so easily stolen or cracked that they're virtually useless as security measures, Chertoff said during a roundtable discussion with bloggers in downtown Washington, D.C.

Internet users need a "paradigm shift" in the way they think about personal and corporate security, said Chertoff, who as a Justice Department lawyer in 2001 helped design the bundle of counterterrorism measures that became known as the Patriot Act.

"It's another initiative we've talked about,"  he said. 

"Part of what we need to do is we need to change from a model in which your assets are controlled by your, for example, your Social Security number, which is a very weak way to control your assets, to a way in which your assets are controlled by some combination of a biometric, a token, and maybe some secret knowledge that isn't kept in a database," he said.

"If you -- bear with me for a second -- If you had a system where in order to access my bank account you had to use my biometric and a token as well as a number, it wouldn't matter if you stole the number, because the number wouldn't do anything for you.  It would be like having my name.  It doesn't do anything for you...." he said.

"But in the long run, I think you want to move away from a model which I consider inherently vulnerable, where the very information that you're trying to protect is the information you have to disseminate in order to validate yourself.  So ... the more effective use you make of the information, the more vulnerable you become," said Chertoff, who gave up a lifetime job as a federal judge in 2005 for the homeland security job. 

 "I'm suggesting we paradigm-shift," he said. 
The draft of a new National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq says that the country is in danger of flying apart in a new spiral of violence provoked by unresolved conflicts between Sunnis, Shias, Kurds and other groups.

"U.S. officials familiar with the new National Intelligence Estimate said they were unsure when the top-secret report would be completed and whether it would be published before the Nov. 4 election," McClatchy News reports.

Meanwhile, The New York Times is reporting that the draft of an NIE on Afghanistan says that country is in a "downward spiral" and prossibly unable "to stem the rise in the Taliban's influence there."

The exclusive story on Iraq by prize-winning McClatchy reporters Warren Strobel, Jonathan Landay and Nancy Youssef, like many of their reports in 2002 and 2003 questioning the reliability of pre-war intelligence on Iraq, has so far been ignored by major media outlets like The Washington Post and New York Times.

If it does get traction, however, it could have a significant effect on both the McCain and Obama campaigns, the McClatchy reporters note.

The findings seem to cast doubts on McCain's frequent assertions that the United States is "on a path to victory" in Iraq by underscoring the deep uncertainties of the situation despite the 30,000-strong U.S. troop surge for which he was the leading congressional advocate.
But McCain could also use the findings to try to strengthen his argument for keeping U.S. troops in Iraq until conditions stabilize.

For Obama, the report raises questions about whether he could fulfill his pledge to withdraw most of the remaining 152,000 U.S. troops _ he would leave some there to deal with al Qaida and to protect U.S. diplomats and civilians _ within 16 months of taking office so that more U.S. forces could be sent to battle the growing Taliban insurgency in Afghanistan.

 "More than a half-dozen officials spoke to McClatchy on condition of anonymity," the reporters wrote, "because NIE's, the most authoritative analyses produced by the U.S. intelligence community, are restricted to the president, his senior aides and members of Congress except in rare instances when just the key findings are made public."

As for Afghanistan, the draft NIE "finds that the breakdown in central authority in Afghanistan has been accelerated by rampant corruption within the government of President Hamid Karzai and by an increase in violence from militants who have launched increasingly sophisticated attacks from havens in Pakistan," according to the Times.
Lawrence Di Rita, former spokesman for Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, escalated his attack today on a CIA officer's charge that Pentagon dithering wasted a chance to wipe out top al Qaeda figures in northern Iraq back in 2002.

In my original story, published late last night, I quoted Di Rita's objection to the allegation by Charles "Sam" Faddis, who led a CIA team into northern Iraq following the 9/11 attacks, that  the Pentagon's "endless planning and delays" foiled a chance to wipe out a band of al Qaeda leaders who were fleeing American bombs in Afghanistan.

After reading that piece online, Di Rita had this further comment:
Charles "Sam" Faddis, who led a CIA team into northern Iraq following the 9/11 attacks, says the Pentagon's "endless planning and delays" foiled a chance to wipe out a band of al Qaeda leaders who were fleeing American bombs in Afghanistan.

Faddis says the delays, beginning in 2002, also facilitated the escape of some "key" al Qaeda figures, including terrorist scientists who were working on chemical and biological weapons.

"Some died, some are still on the run," Faddis said in a telephone interview Tuesday, following his appearance on NPR's Diane Rehm Show to promote a new book in which he is the central figure, Operation Hotel California: The Clandestine War Inside Iraq  by counterterrorism expert Mike Tucker. 

"The site was physically destroyed ... but certainly the research wasn't destroyed."
A few days ago I wrote a column trying to clear up the campaign debate over the value of having "direct talks" with Iran, North Korea, etc.  

The Obama-Biden team, I wrote, had not been clear about what it means, which I thought opened them to phony charges of "appeasement."

What both sides should agree on is what "direct talks" mean, for the good of the country, if not themselves. It does not mean, as Obama has carelessly implied in some interviews, sitting down with, say, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, without pre-summit talks.

Of course, there are always pre-summit talks, also called "preparation," and these are done -- Yes, Virginia - without preconditions.  Given all the e-mail I've gotten,  I guess I didn't make that clear.

As Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, who refined "direct talks" with their secret dialogue with China, have often said, you cannot find out what the other guy wants, and tell him what you want, without first sitting down "without preconditions."

Think of it in terms of  Tony and Phil, in The Sopranos. First they send emissaries to lay out their position. If they still have problems, then they have the sit-down. If that doesn't work, then they apply a little pressure.

If that doesn't work, then they whack the guy. But hey, ya gotta try to tawk first. 
Depressed by the market news? Try this for a quick pick-me-up:
 
"An emerging alliance between Iran and Russia will lead to a stranglehold over Gulf and Caspian oil exports, potentially threatening half the world's traded oil (equal to 24-25 million barrels per day) and Europe's gas supply," ex-CIA operative Robert Baer  says in a new book,  The Devil You Know: Dealing with the New Iranian Superpower.

Of course, with oil tumbling below $90 a barrel today on the prospect of a global depression, Iran and Russia could also end up turning on each other in an old fashioned, gas station-style price war.  

Baer, a CIA counterterrorism agent in Beirut, Tajikistan and Paris, among other assignments, also predicts "Pakistan will break apart, as will Iraq, all the more increasing America's need for new allies and a realignment of power."

And those allies would be ... ?  Who's left? 

Baer's first book, See No Evil,  a memoir of his CIA service in the Middle East and elsewhere, formed the basis for the movie Syriana

The U.S. Foreign Service took a beating last year following reports that the State Department was having a hard time persuading the striped pants set to serve in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Unfair! Critics were twisting the numbers, the American Foreign Service Association contended, but its cause wasn't helped when some in its ranks whined publicly that serving in Iraq was, you know, dangerous.

But that was then. Volunteers are flocking to the war zones now, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice announced this week, with slots in Iraq and Afghanistan filled through next summer. 
The top American commander in Afghanistan says the so-called 'Awakening' strategy that has worked so well in Iraq can't be replicated in Afghanistan.

"The difference in Afghanistan is that there needs to be an Afghan-led effort to engage the tribes," General David D. McKiernan said in passage buried deep in a New York Times story about U.S. efforts to crush the drug trade in Afghanistan.

In Iraq, U.S. commanders paid Sunni tribes that had been attacking American troops to switch sides and go after al Qaeda guerrillas, who were mostly foreign fighters. 

Most analysts credit that, rather than the "surge," as the major factor in the dramatically reduced violence in Iraq this year.

But in Afghanistan, McKiernan said, there "is a degree of complexity in the tribal system which is much greater than what I found in Iraq years ago."

He added. "And I also find that of the over 400 major tribal networks inside of Afghanistan, they have been largely, as I said earlier, traumatized by over 30 years of war, so a lot of that traditional tribal structure has broken down."

Back in Iraq, meanwhile, the Shia-led Baghdad government seems poised to put a pillow over the Awakening, according to many accounts.

One of the most revealing comes is an interview with the Awakening's Baghdad leader, conducted by Robert Dreyfuss in The Nation magazine.

Abu Azzam tells Dreyfuss that the Sunnis will take up the gun against the Americans again if the Shia-led government tries to put it out of business. Read the fascinating piece here.
James Gordon Meek may have a name Dickens might have thought up. In real life he pens the always informative, often witty "Mouth of the Potomac" blog for the New York Daily News.

Meek's laughs don't come from jokes, unless you count the can-you-believe-this material he digs up day after day.

Take this item today on Sarah Palin.   (I know -- it's like shooting salmon in a basket.)

Meek followed up Palin's remarks to Katie Couric about guarding Alaskan air space from the Russians by touching base with  a spokesman for the Alaska North American Aerospace Defense Command,

"She doesn't have any role in that process," Air Force Maj. Allen Herritage told Meek.

"The authority to launch and respond to a Russian incursion lies with the Alaska NORAD Region commander" -- Air Force Lt. Gen. Dana Atkins, he said.
The FBI has blocked two of its veteran counterterrorism agents from going public with accusations that the CIA deliberately withheld crucial intelligence before the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks.

FBI Special Agents Mark Rossini and Douglas Miller have asked for permission to appear in an upcoming public television documentary, scheduled to air in January, on pre-9/11 rivalries between the CIA, FBI and National Security Agency.

The program is a spin-off from The Shadow Factory: The Ultra-Secret NSA from 9/11 to the Eavesdropping on America, by acclaimed investigative reporter James Bamford, due out in a matter of days.

The FBI denied Rossini and Miller permission to participate in the book or the PBS "NOVA" documentary, which is also being written and produced by Bamford, on grounds that the FBI "doesn't want to stir up old conflicts with the CIA," according to multiple reliable sources.