Marc Lynch, the George Washington University professor who writes the shrewd and engaging Abu Aardvark blog, is musing on worrying news that could deeply complicate any U.S. troop withdrawals from Iraq.
One of the key Sunni tribes that switched sides last year and linked up with the U.S. under the banner of The Awakening, writes Lynch, may be switching back to killing GIs.
A few days ago, write Lynch, "The Emir of the Islamic Army of Iraq announced a new offensive against American bases and troops."
The Islamic Army is the core of the coalition of 'nationalist-jihadist' insurgency factions which have expressed interest in joining the political process (the Reform and Jihad Front, the Political Council of the Iraqi Resistance) and is one of the key factions believed to have joined up with the Awakenings Councils / Sons of Iraq in force. Its public break with [al Qaeda in Iraq] in April 2007 was probably the most important turning point in the transformation of the Sunni insurgency.
Read his whole take here.
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