Recently in General Election Match-Ups Category

Here are updates that include polls published Friday through today in our round-up of match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama. Also, we have changed several race ratings:

  • Arkansas from "Leans Republican" to "Republican Favored."
  • Arizona from "Republican Favored" to "Leans Republican."
  • Connecticut from "Democrat Favored" to "Safe Democrat."
  • Georgia from "Republican Favored to "Leans Republican."
  • New Hampshire from "Leans Democrat" to Democrat Favored."
  • New Mexico from "Leans Democrat" to "Democrat Favored."

    • North Dakota from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite."
    • Oregon from "Leans Democratic" to "Safe Democratic."
    • Washington State from "Leans Democratic" to "Safe Democratic."

    • Alaska: McCain 46.6, Obama 43.9. (Hays Research); McCain 58, Obama 39. (Research 2000)

    • Arkansas: McCain 51, Obama 44. (ARG)
    • Colorado: Obama 49, McCain 44. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon); Obama 54, McCain 44. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Florida: Obama 49.2, McCain 48. (Zogby);Obama 50, McCain 48. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Quinnipiac); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Mason-Dixon); Obama 50, McCain 46. (ARG)
    • Georgia: McCain 50, Obama 48. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 52, Obama 45. (SurveyUSA); McCain 47, Obama 44. (Research 2000); McCain 52, Obama 47. (Rasmussen)
    • Illinois: Obama 60, McCain 38. (Rasmussen)
    • Indiana: McCain 50.4, Obama 45.1. (Zogby); Obama 49, McCain 48. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 48, Obama 48. (ARG); McCain 47, Obama 47. (SurveyUSA)
    • Iowa: Obama 54, McCain 37. (Des Moines Register); Obama 55, McCain 40. (SurveyUSA)
    • Kentucky: McCain 56, Obama 40. (SurveyUSA); McCain 56, Obama 39. (Research 2000)
    • Maine: Obama 56, McCain 43. (Rasmussen)
    • Michigan: Obama 55, McCain 42. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 50, McCain 38. (EPIC -MRA)
    • Minnesota: Obama 49, McCain 46. (SurveyUSA); Obama 53, McCain 38. (Research 2000); Obama 57, McCain 41. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Missouri: Obama 48.8, McCain 48.8. (Zogby); Obama 49.4, McCain 48.6. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 48, Obama 48. (SurveyUSA)McCain 47, Obama 46. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon); McCain 50, Obama 47. (InsiderAdvantage/Politico)
    • Montana: Obama 48, McCain 47, Paul 4. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 48, Obama 44. (Research 2000)
    • Nevada: Obama 53.2, McCain 42.4. (Zogby); Obama 51, McCain 47. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 47, McCain 43. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
    • New Hampshire: Obama 53, McCain 42. (WMUR/UNH); Obama 53, McCain 42. (SurveyUSA); Obama 50, McCain 41. (Strategic Vision); Obama 51, McCain 44. (Research 2000); Obama 51, McCain 44. (Rasmussen)
    • New Mexico: Obama 58, McCain 41. (Public Policy Polling)
    • North Carolina: McCain 49.5, Obama 49.1. (Zogby); Obama 50, McCain 49. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 49, Obama 46. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon); Obama 48, McCain 48. (InsiderAdvantage/Politico); Obama 45, McCain 38. (Elon University)
    • Ohio: Obama 49.4, McCain 47.4. (Zogby); Obama 48, McCain 46. (SurveyUSA); Obama 51.5, McCain 45.7. (University of Cincinnati); (Obama 50, McCain 43. Quinnipiac); Obama 50, McCain 48. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 52, McCain 46. (Columbus Dispatch); McCain 47, Obama 45. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
    • Oregon : Obama 54, McCain 42. (Rasmussen); Obama 55, McCain 39. (Research 2000). Obama 57, McCain 42. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Pennsylvania: Obama 52, McCain 43. (SurveyUSA); Obama 51.2, McCain 41.4 (Zogby); Obama 51, McCain 44. (Strategic Vision); Obama 52, McCain 42. (Quinnipiac); Obama 53, McCain 45. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 52, McCain 44. (Muhlenberg); Obama 51, McCain 45. (ARG); Obama 51, McCain 47. (Rasmussen)
    • South Carolina: McCain 52, Obama 44. (SurveyUSA)
    • South Dakota: McCain 53, Obama 44. (Rasmussen)
    • Virginia: Obama 51.7, McCain 45.3 (Zogby); Obama 50, McCain 46. (SurveyUSA); Obama 47, McCain 44. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon).
    • Washington State: Obama 55, McCain 40. (Strategic Vision)
    • West Virginia: McCain 55, Obama 42. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Wisconsin: Obama 53, McCain 40. (Strategic Vision); Obama 55, McCain 39. (SurveyUSA).
    • Wyoming: McCain 61, Obama 36. (Research 2000)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are today's updates in our match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Arizona: McCain 53, Obama 46. (CNN/Time); McCain 48, Obama 44. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon).
  • California: Obama 55, McCain 33. (Field)
  • Colorado: Obama 51, McCain 45. (Marist); Obama 48, McCain 44. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Florida: Obama 45, McCain 44. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Indiana: McCain 49, Obama 46. (Rasmussen); Obama 45.9, McCain 45.3 (Indianapolis Star-WTHR)
  • Kentucky: McCain 55, Obama 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Minnesota: Obama 56, McCain 37. (MPR/Humphrey); Obama Obama 48, McCain 40. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
  • Montana: McCain 50, Obama 46. (Rasmussen)
  • New Hampshire: Obama 53, McCain 40. (Suffolk University)
  • New Jersey: Obama 54, McCain 38. (Research 2000)
  • New Mexico: Obama 54, McCain 44. (Rasmussen)
  • Nevada: Obama 52, McCain 45. (CNN/Time)
  • North Carolina: Obama 50, McCain 48. (Rasmussen) Obama 52, McCain 46. (CNN/Time); Obama 47, McCain 43. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Ohio: Obama 51, McCain 47. (CNN/Time); Obama 48, McCain 41. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 55, McCain 43. (CNN/Time); Obama 47, McCain 43. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
  • South Carolina: McCain 53, Obama 42. (NBC/Princeton).
  • Texas: McCain 49.3, Obama 38. (University of Texas)
  • Virginia: Obama 51, McCain 47. (Marist); Obama 48, McCain 44. (Allstate/National Journal)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are today's updates in our match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Alaska: McCain 57, Obama 41. (Rasmussen)
  • Arizona: McCain 46, Obama 44. (Cronkite/Eight)
  • Colorado: Obama 53, McCain 45. (CNN/Time); Obama 50, McCain 41. (AP/GfK)
  • Florida: Obama 51, McCain 47. (CNN/Time); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Quinnipiac); Obama 45, McCain 43. (AP/GfK)
  • Georgia: McCain 52, Obama 47. (CNN/Time)
  • Indiana: McCain 47, Obama 45. (Howey/Gauge)
  • Michigan: Obama 53, McCain 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Minnesota: Obama 55, McCain 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Missouri: McCain 50, Obama 48. (CNN/Time)
  • New Hampshire: Obama 58, McCain 34. (WMUR/UNH)Obama 55, McCain 37. (AP/GfK)
  • Nevada: Obama 52, McCain 40. (AP/GfK)
  • North Carolina: Obama 48, McCain 46. (AP/GfK)
  • Ohio: Obama 46, McCain 43. (Marist); Obama 51, McCain 42. (Quinnipiac); Obama 48, McCain 41. (AP/GfK)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 52, McCain 39. (Marist); Obama 53, McCain 41. (Quinnipiac); Obama 52, McCain 40. (AP/GfK); Obama 51, McCain 39. (Franklin & Marshall)
  • Virginia: Obama 53, McCain 44. (CNN/Time); Obama 49, McCain 42. (AP/GfK)
  • Washington: Obama 56, McCain 39. (SurveyUSA)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are updates from yesterday and today in our match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Arizona: McCain 49, Obama 41. (Northern Arizona University)
  • Arkansas: McCain 54, Obama 44. (Rasmussen)
  • California: Obama 61, McCain 34. (Rasmussen)
  • Colorado: Obama 50, McCain 46. (Rasmussen)
  • Florida: Obama 50, McCain 43. (Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg); Obama 49, McCain 44. (Suffolk); Obama 47.2, McCain 46.9. (Zogby); Obama 51, McCain 47. (Rasmussen)
  • Indiana: McCain 50.2, Obama 44. (Zogby)
  • Iowa: Obama 52, McCain 42. (Marist)
  • Louisiana: McCain 50.6, Obama 38.3. (Southeastern Louisiana University)
  • Mississippi: McCain 53, Obama 45. (Rasmussen)
  • Missouri: Obama 48.2, McCain 45.7. (Zogby); Obama 48, McCain 47. (Rasmussen)
  • Montana: McCain 48, Obama 44. (NBC/Mason-Dixon)
  • Nevada: Obama 48.2, McCain 44. (Zogby)
  • New Hampshire: Obama 50, McCain 45. (Marist); Obama 55, McCain 39. (WMUR/UNH); Obama 50, McCain 39. (NBC/Mason-Dixon)
  • New Jersey: Obama 53, McCain 38. (Strategic Vision)
  • Nevada: Obama 50, McCain 46. (Rasmussen)
  • North Carolina: Obama 49, McCain 48, Barr 1. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 49.7, McCain 46.4. (Zogby); McCain 49, Obama 48. (Rasmussen); Obama 47, McCain 47. (NBC/Mason-Dixon)
  • Ohio: Obama 49, McCain 40. (Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg); Obama 49.7, McCain 45.1 (Zogby); Obama 49, McCain 45. (Rasmussen); Obama 49, McCain 45. (SurveyUSA)
  • Oregon: Obama 57, McCain 38. (SurveyUSA)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 50, McCain 41. (Temple); Obama 53, McCain 46. (Rasmussen)
  • Vermont: Obama 57, McCain 36. (Research 2000)
  • Virginia: Obama 53, McCain 44. (Washington Post/ABC News); Obama 52, McCain 43. (SurveyUSA); Obama 52, McCain 44.8. (Zogby); Obama 51, McCain 47. (Rasmussen)
  • Washington State: Obama 55, McCain 34. (University of Washington)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 50, McCain 41. (Strategic Vision)
  • West Virginia: McCain 50.3, Obama 40.4. (Zogby)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups: between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Florida: McCain 48, Obama 46. (Strategic Vision)
  • Georgia: McCain 51, Obama 46. (Rasmussen); McCain 51, Obama 45. (Strategic Vision)
  • Indiana: Obama 49, McCain 45. (SurveyUSA)
  • Louisiana: McCain 57, Obama 41. (Rasmussen)
  • Michigan: Obama 51, McCain 37. (EPIC-MRA)
  • Minnesota: Obama 56, McCain 41. (Rasmussen)
  • North Carolina: McCain 50, Obama 48. (Rasmussen); Obama 44,6, McCain 44.2. (Winthrop/ETV)
  • Ohio: McCain 48, Obama 45. (Strategic Vision)
  • Oregon: Obama 48, McCain 43. (Riley Research)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 50, McCain 43. (Strategic Vision)
  • South Carolina: McCain 55.1, Obama 34.9. (Winthrop/ETV)
  • Virginia: Obama 44.6, McCain 43.6. (Winthrop/ETV)
  • Washington State: Obama 54, McCain 43. (Rasmussen)

  • -

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

There were two big releases of polls today focusing on key states. The Big Ten Battle Ground Poll showed Barack Obama with significant leads over John McCain in eight Midwest states. A Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll showed Obama riding a surge of support based on the belief he would better handle the economy. Quinnipiac said, "With 12 days to go, Sen. McCain is narrowing the gap in Florida, but fading in Ohio and barely denting Sen. Obama's double-digit lead in Pennsylvania."

Also interesting to note that a new poll has Obama moving ahead in Montana, which went Republican in each of the last five elections except in 1992 when Ross Perot's independent candidacy siphoned off votes from the first President Bush. CQ Politics is changing its rating of Montana from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite." We are also moving Indiana from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite," Ohio from "No Clear Favorite" back to "Leans Democratic," and North Dakota from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite."

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups: between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Arkansas: McCain 49, Obama 36. (University of Arkansas)
  • California: Obama 56, McCain 33. (PPIC)
  • Florida: Obama 49, McCain 44. (Quinnipiac); Obama 49, McCain 42. (St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald)
  • Illinois: Obama 61, McCain 32. (Big Ten)
  • Indiana: Obama 51, McCain 41. (Big Ten)
  • Iowa: Obama 53, McCain 39. (Big Ten)
  • Kansas: McCain 53, Obama 41. (SurveyUSA)
  • Maine: Obama 56, McCain 35. (Critical Insights)
  • Montana; Obama 44.4, McCain 40.2. (Montana State University)
  • Ohio: Obama 52, McCain 38. (Quinnipiac); Obama 53, McCain 41. (Big Ten)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 40. (Quinnipiac); Obama 52, McCain 41. (Big Ten); Obama 53, McCain 41. (SurveyUSA)
  • Texas: McCain 54, Obama 44. (Rasmussen)
  • West Virginia: McCain 49.2, Obama 43.5. (Wesleyan College)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 53, McCain 40. (Big Ten).

We'll be updating the longer state summaries below as the day goes on.

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Alaska: McCain 53, Obama 42. (Ivan Moore)
  • Florida: McCain 46, Obama 45. (Mason-Dixon)
  • Kentucky: McCain 52, Obama 44. (Rasmussen)
  • Maine: Obama 54, 39. (SurveyUSA)
  • Nevada: Obama 51, McCain 46. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • North Carolina: Obama 51, McCain 47. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Ohio: Obama 50, McCain 46. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 41. (Muhlenberg)
  • Virginia: Obama 54, McCain 44. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Mason-Dixon)
  • West Virginia: McCain 53, Obama 44. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 52, McCain 41. (Research 2000); Obama 51, McCain 38. (Wisconsin Public Radio)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Colorado: Obama 51, McCain 46. (Fox News/Rasmussen)
  • Florida: McCain 49, Obama 48. (Fox News/Rasmussen); Obama 48, McCain 47. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Illinois: Obama 56, McCain 32. (Chicago Tribune).
  • Indiana: Obama 48, McCain 46. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Kentucky: McCain 54, Obama 41. (SurveyUSA)
  • Missouri: Obama 49, McCain 44. (Fox News/Rasmussen)
  • New Jersey: Obama 54, McCain 39. (Monmouth/Gannett); Obama 59, McCain 36. (Quinnipiac)
  • North Carolina: Obama 51, McCain 48. (Fox News/Rasmussen); Obama 48, McCain 45. (Civitas).
  • Ohio: McCain 49, Obama 47. (Fox News/Rasmussen)
  • Oklahoma: McCain 59, Obama 35. (SurveyUSA)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 41. (Muhlenberg)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 51, McCain 43. (SurveyUSA)
  • Wyoming: McCain 58, Obama 37. (SurveyUSA)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Minnesota: Obama 50, McCain 44. (SurveyUSA)

  • Missouri: McCain 45, Obama 44. (Suffolk University)

  • New Hampshire: Obama 50, McCain 43. (Research 2000)

  • North Carolina: Obama 51, McCain 44. (Public Policy Polling)

  • Ohio: Obama 51, McCain 42. (Suffolk University)

  • Pennsylvania: Obama 48, McCain 40. (Susquehanna)

  • Virginia: Obama 51, McCain 45. (SurveyUSA); Obama 54, McCain 44. (Rasmussen)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Kentucky: McCain 53, Obama 39. (Research 2000)
  • Ohio: McCain 46, Obama 45. (NBC/Mason-Dixon)
  • Minnesota: Obama 52, McCain 41. (Minneapolis Star Tribune); Obama 52, McCain 39. (Research 2000)
  • Montana: McCain 49, Obama 45. (Research 2000)
  • West Virginia: McCain 47, Obama 41. (NBC/Mason-Dixon); McCain 50, Obama 42. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 51, McCain 39. (NBC/Mason Dixon)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.