Recently in CNN/Time/Opinion Research Category

We're a little late on this one, but CNN/Opinion Research released a poll this week showing that there is no clear front runner in the hearts and minds of Republicans for the 2012 nomination.

Twenty-two percent said they'd most likely support former Arkansas Gov. Mick Huckabee, who had his moment during the 2008 GOP primaries before falling by the wayside, while 21 percent each would back Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. The poll was conducted May 14-17 and had a margin of error of 4.5 points. Thirteen percent like former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and 6 percent backed former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

While yet another poll shows that President Obama enjoys strong public approval for the way he has done his job in the first 100 days, his most recent action - ordering the release of previously secret Bush administration records about interrogation of terrorism suspects - draws far less support.

The new survey also revealed divisions on the use of torture and whether there should be an investigation into Bush administration policies.

Sixty-nine percent of the public approves of Obama's job performance compared to 26 percent who do not, a net gain of five points since March, according to a Washington Post/ABC News poll conducted April 21-24.

Sixty-eight percent of Americans who watched Barack Obama's speech to a joint session of Congress last night had a positive reaction to it, 24 percent said their reaction was somewhat positive and 8 percent registered a negative reaction, according to quick poll by CNN/Opinion Research. However, the pollster cautions that its sample was about 8 to 10 points more Democratic than the general public.

The number of viewers who thought Obama's policies would move the country in the right direction gew by 17 points after the speech. Eight-five percent said the speech made them feel more optimistic while 11 percent said they felt more pessimistic after it. The economic plan outlined by Obama in the speech drew the support of 82 percent of viewers.

Here are our latest updates from yesterday and today on Senate races around the country from Nov.1 and Oct. 31. Today's addition is the Main race between Republican incumbent Susan Collins and Rep. Tom Allen.

  • Alaska: Begich 49.3, Stevens 42. (Hays Research); Begich 58, Stevens 36. (Research 2000)
  • Colorado:Udall 53, Schaffer 43. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Georgia.: Chambliss 48, Martin 46, Buckley 4. (Public Policy Polling); Chambliss 48, Martin 44, Buckley 5. (SurveyUSA); Chambliss 47, Martin 46, Buckley 5. (Research 2000); Chambliss 53, Martin 43. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research); Chambliss 48, Merkley 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Kentucky: McConnell 53, Lunsford 45. (SurveyUSA); McConnell 47, Lunsford 44. (Research 2000); McConnell 51, Lunsford 44. (Rasmussen)
  • Maine: Collins 57, Allen 41. (Rasmussen)
  • Michigan: Levin 58, Hoogendyk 36. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Minnesota: Coleman 44, Franken 39, Barkley 16. (SurveyUSA); Coleman 43, Franken 40, Barkley 15. (Research 2000); Franken 45, Coleman 40, Barkley 14. (Public Policy Polling); Franken 41, Coleman 37, Barkley 17. (MPR/Humphrey Institute)
  • New Hampshire: Shaheen 48, Sununu 42. (WMUR/UNH); Shaheen 53, Sununu 40. (SurveyUSA); Shaheen 52, Sununu 42, Blevens 2. (Research 2000); Shaheen 52, Sununu 44. (Rasmussen)
  • New Jersey: Lautenberg 52, Zimmer 37. (SurveyUSA)
  • New Mexico: Udall 58, Pearce 39. (Public Policy Polling); Udall 56, Pearce 41. (Rasmussen)
  • North Carolina: Hagan 51, Dole 44, Cole 3. (Public Policy Polling); Hagan 44, Dole 37. (Elon University); Hagan 53, Dole 44. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Oregon: Merkley 48, Smith 42. (Research 2000); Merkley 51, Smith 43, Brownlow 4. (Public Policy Polling); Merkley 49, Smith 46. (Rasmussen)
  • Virginia: Warner 59, Gilmore 35. (SurveyUSA); Warner 63, Gilmore 35. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • West Virginia: Rockefeller 58, Wolfe 40. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Wyoming: Barasso, 60, Carter 35. (Research 2000)
  • Wyoming: Enzi 62, Rothfuss 35. (Research 2000)

Also, to check on our race ratings for all Senate contests, go to our Races to Watch page.

Here are our latest updates on Senate races around the country. CQ Politics is changing its rating on the Mississippi race, where Republican Roger Wicker, who was appointed to fill out Trent Lott's term, is seeking re-election from "No Clear Favorite" to "Leans Republican." In the Georgia contest between first term Republican Saxby Chambliss and Democrat Jim Martin, we are changing that rating from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite."

  • Alaska: Begich 58, Stevens 36. (Research 2000)
  • Colorado:Udall 53, Schaffer 43. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Georgia.: Chambliss 47, Martin 46, Buckley 5. (Research 2000); Chambliss 53, Martin 43. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research); Chambliss 48, Merkley 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Kentucky: McConnell 51, Lunsford 44. (Rasmussen)
  • Michigan: Levin 58, Hoogendyk 36. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Minnesota: Franken 45, Coleman 40, Barkley 14. (Public Policy Polling); Franken 41, Coleman 37, Barkley 17. (MPR/Humphrey Institute)
  • New Hampshire: Shaheen 53, Sununu 40. (SurveyUSA); Shaheen 52, Sununu 42, Blevens 2. (Research 2000); Shaheen 52, Sununu 44. (Rasmussen)
  • New Jersey: Lautenberg 52, Zimmer 37. (SurveyUSA)
  • New Mexico: Udall 58, Pearce 39. (Public Policy Polling); Udall 56, Pearce 41. (Rasmussen)
  • North Carolina: Hagan 44, Dole 37. (Elon University); Hagan 53, Dole 44. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Oregon: Merkley 51, Smith 43, Brownlow 4. (Public Policy Polling); Merkley 49, Smith 46. (Rasmussen)
  • Virginia: Warner 63, Gilmore 35. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • West Virginia: Rockefeller 58, Wolfe 40. (Public Policy Polling)

Also, to check on our race ratings for all Senate contests, go to our Races to Watch page.

Here are today's updates in our match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Arizona: McCain 53, Obama 46. (CNN/Time); McCain 48, Obama 44. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon).
  • California: Obama 55, McCain 33. (Field)
  • Colorado: Obama 51, McCain 45. (Marist); Obama 48, McCain 44. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Florida: Obama 45, McCain 44. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Indiana: McCain 49, Obama 46. (Rasmussen); Obama 45.9, McCain 45.3 (Indianapolis Star-WTHR)
  • Kentucky: McCain 55, Obama 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Minnesota: Obama 56, McCain 37. (MPR/Humphrey); Obama Obama 48, McCain 40. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
  • Montana: McCain 50, Obama 46. (Rasmussen)
  • New Hampshire: Obama 53, McCain 40. (Suffolk University)
  • New Jersey: Obama 54, McCain 38. (Research 2000)
  • New Mexico: Obama 54, McCain 44. (Rasmussen)
  • Nevada: Obama 52, McCain 45. (CNN/Time)
  • North Carolina: Obama 50, McCain 48. (Rasmussen) Obama 52, McCain 46. (CNN/Time); Obama 47, McCain 43. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Ohio: Obama 51, McCain 47. (CNN/Time); Obama 48, McCain 41. (Allstate/National Journal)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 55, McCain 43. (CNN/Time); Obama 47, McCain 43. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
  • South Carolina: McCain 53, Obama 42. (NBC/Princeton).
  • Texas: McCain 49.3, Obama 38. (University of Texas)
  • Virginia: Obama 51, McCain 47. (Marist); Obama 48, McCain 44. (Allstate/National Journal)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are today's updates in our match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Alaska: McCain 57, Obama 41. (Rasmussen)
  • Arizona: McCain 46, Obama 44. (Cronkite/Eight)
  • Colorado: Obama 53, McCain 45. (CNN/Time); Obama 50, McCain 41. (AP/GfK)
  • Florida: Obama 51, McCain 47. (CNN/Time); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Quinnipiac); Obama 45, McCain 43. (AP/GfK)
  • Georgia: McCain 52, Obama 47. (CNN/Time)
  • Indiana: McCain 47, Obama 45. (Howey/Gauge)
  • Michigan: Obama 53, McCain 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Minnesota: Obama 55, McCain 43. (Rasmussen)
  • Missouri: McCain 50, Obama 48. (CNN/Time)
  • New Hampshire: Obama 58, McCain 34. (WMUR/UNH)Obama 55, McCain 37. (AP/GfK)
  • Nevada: Obama 52, McCain 40. (AP/GfK)
  • North Carolina: Obama 48, McCain 46. (AP/GfK)
  • Ohio: Obama 46, McCain 43. (Marist); Obama 51, McCain 42. (Quinnipiac); Obama 48, McCain 41. (AP/GfK)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 52, McCain 39. (Marist); Obama 53, McCain 41. (Quinnipiac); Obama 52, McCain 40. (AP/GfK); Obama 51, McCain 39. (Franklin & Marshall)
  • Virginia: Obama 53, McCain 44. (CNN/Time); Obama 49, McCain 42. (AP/GfK)
  • Washington: Obama 56, McCain 39. (SurveyUSA)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Alaska: McCain 53, Obama 42. (Ivan Moore)
  • Florida: McCain 46, Obama 45. (Mason-Dixon)
  • Kentucky: McCain 52, Obama 44. (Rasmussen)
  • Maine: Obama 54, 39. (SurveyUSA)
  • Nevada: Obama 51, McCain 46. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • North Carolina: Obama 51, McCain 47. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Ohio: Obama 50, McCain 46. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 41. (Muhlenberg)
  • Virginia: Obama 54, McCain 44. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Mason-Dixon)
  • West Virginia: McCain 53, Obama 44. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 52, McCain 41. (Research 2000); Obama 51, McCain 38. (Wisconsin Public Radio)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario

Here are the states we're updating today in our round-up of general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Colorado: Obama 51, McCain 47. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Delaware: Obama 56, McCain 41. (Rasmussen)
  • Florida: Obama 51, McCain 46. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Georgia: McCain 53, Obama 45. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Illinois: Obama 56, McCain 39. (Rasmussen)
  • Kansas: McCain, 54, Obama 41. (Rasmussen)
  • Massachusetts: Obama 62, McCain 34. (Rasmussen)
  • Missouri: McCain 49, Obama 48. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • New Mexico: Obama 52, McCain 45. (SurveyUSA); Obama 55, McCain 42. (Rasmussen)
  • Virginia: Obama 53, McCain 43. (CNN/Time/Opinion Research)
  • Washington State: Obama 56, McCain 40. (SurveyUSA)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Today we update Pennsylvania, California, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Ohio, Nevada and Minnesota in our round-up of general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama. As with the latest national polls, the movement in these polls and the ones we posted yesterday appears to be mostly towards Obama. A Time/CNN/Opinion Research poll said McCain was struggling in states that President Bush won in 2004 such as North Carolina, Ohio, and Indiana.

Visit our Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here's a summary of our race ratings categories. Use this link for background on how we arrive at them

  • No Clear Favorite, for races that are deemed to close to call.
  • Leans Democratic and Leans Republican, for highly competitive races in which the named party is perceived to have at least a slight edge, but in which an upset is a highly plausible possibility.
  • Democrat Favored and Republican Favored, for races in which the named party has a clearer advantage and is likely to win, though an upset cannot be completely ruled out.
  • Safe Democratic and Safe Republican, for races in which the named party is viewed as certain to win.