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Here are updates that include polls published Friday through today in our round-up of match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama. Also, we have changed several race ratings:

  • Arkansas from "Leans Republican" to "Republican Favored."
  • Arizona from "Republican Favored" to "Leans Republican."
  • Connecticut from "Democrat Favored" to "Safe Democrat."
  • Georgia from "Republican Favored to "Leans Republican."
  • New Hampshire from "Leans Democrat" to Democrat Favored."
  • New Mexico from "Leans Democrat" to "Democrat Favored."

    • North Dakota from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite."
    • Oregon from "Leans Democratic" to "Safe Democratic."
    • Washington State from "Leans Democratic" to "Safe Democratic."

    • Alaska: McCain 46.6, Obama 43.9. (Hays Research); McCain 58, Obama 39. (Research 2000)

    • Arkansas: McCain 51, Obama 44. (ARG)
    • Colorado: Obama 49, McCain 44. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon); Obama 54, McCain 44. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Florida: Obama 49.2, McCain 48. (Zogby);Obama 50, McCain 48. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Quinnipiac); Obama 47, McCain 45. (Mason-Dixon); Obama 50, McCain 46. (ARG)
    • Georgia: McCain 50, Obama 48. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 52, Obama 45. (SurveyUSA); McCain 47, Obama 44. (Research 2000); McCain 52, Obama 47. (Rasmussen)
    • Illinois: Obama 60, McCain 38. (Rasmussen)
    • Indiana: McCain 50.4, Obama 45.1. (Zogby); Obama 49, McCain 48. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 48, Obama 48. (ARG); McCain 47, Obama 47. (SurveyUSA)
    • Iowa: Obama 54, McCain 37. (Des Moines Register); Obama 55, McCain 40. (SurveyUSA)
    • Kentucky: McCain 56, Obama 40. (SurveyUSA); McCain 56, Obama 39. (Research 2000)
    • Maine: Obama 56, McCain 43. (Rasmussen)
    • Michigan: Obama 55, McCain 42. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 50, McCain 38. (EPIC -MRA)
    • Minnesota: Obama 49, McCain 46. (SurveyUSA); Obama 53, McCain 38. (Research 2000); Obama 57, McCain 41. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Missouri: Obama 48.8, McCain 48.8. (Zogby); Obama 49.4, McCain 48.6. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 48, Obama 48. (SurveyUSA)McCain 47, Obama 46. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon); McCain 50, Obama 47. (InsiderAdvantage/Politico)
    • Montana: Obama 48, McCain 47, Paul 4. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 48, Obama 44. (Research 2000)
    • Nevada: Obama 53.2, McCain 42.4. (Zogby); Obama 51, McCain 47. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 47, McCain 43. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
    • New Hampshire: Obama 53, McCain 42. (WMUR/UNH); Obama 53, McCain 42. (SurveyUSA); Obama 50, McCain 41. (Strategic Vision); Obama 51, McCain 44. (Research 2000); Obama 51, McCain 44. (Rasmussen)
    • New Mexico: Obama 58, McCain 41. (Public Policy Polling)
    • North Carolina: McCain 49.5, Obama 49.1. (Zogby); Obama 50, McCain 49. (Public Policy Polling); McCain 49, Obama 46. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon); Obama 48, McCain 48. (InsiderAdvantage/Politico); Obama 45, McCain 38. (Elon University)
    • Ohio: Obama 49.4, McCain 47.4. (Zogby); Obama 48, McCain 46. (SurveyUSA); Obama 51.5, McCain 45.7. (University of Cincinnati); (Obama 50, McCain 43. Quinnipiac); Obama 50, McCain 48. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 52, McCain 46. (Columbus Dispatch); McCain 47, Obama 45. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon)
    • Oregon : Obama 54, McCain 42. (Rasmussen); Obama 55, McCain 39. (Research 2000). Obama 57, McCain 42. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Pennsylvania: Obama 52, McCain 43. (SurveyUSA); Obama 51.2, McCain 41.4 (Zogby); Obama 51, McCain 44. (Strategic Vision); Obama 52, McCain 42. (Quinnipiac); Obama 53, McCain 45. (Public Policy Polling); Obama 52, McCain 44. (Muhlenberg); Obama 51, McCain 45. (ARG); Obama 51, McCain 47. (Rasmussen)
    • South Carolina: McCain 52, Obama 44. (SurveyUSA)
    • South Dakota: McCain 53, Obama 44. (Rasmussen)
    • Virginia: Obama 51.7, McCain 45.3 (Zogby); Obama 50, McCain 46. (SurveyUSA); Obama 47, McCain 44. (NBC News/Mason-Dixon).
    • Washington State: Obama 55, McCain 40. (Strategic Vision)
    • West Virginia: McCain 55, Obama 42. (Public Policy Polling)
    • Wisconsin: Obama 53, McCain 40. (Strategic Vision); Obama 55, McCain 39. (SurveyUSA).
    • Wyoming: McCain 61, Obama 36. (Research 2000)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Here are the states we updated yesterday and today in our match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama:

  • Arkansas: McCain 52, Obama 41. (Research 2000)
  • Colorado: Obama 52, McCain 40. (Rocky Mountain News/CBS4)
  • Iowa: Obama 53, McCain 44. (Rasmussen); Obama 54, McCain 39. (Research 2000)
  • Kentucky: McCain 55, Obama 39. (Research 2000)
  • New Hampshire: Obama 50, McCain 46. (Rasmussen); Obama 54, McCain 39. (Boston Globe)
  • Ohio: Obama 49, McCain 46. (Ohio Newspaper Poll); Obama 51, McCain 44. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Pennsylvania: Obama 52, McCain 41. (Muhlenberg)
  • South Dakota: McCain 50, Obama 41. (Research 2000)
  • Tennessee: McCain 54, Obama 38. (Research 2000)
  • Virginia: Obama 52, McCain 43. (Public Policy Polling)
  • Wisconsin: Obama 51, McCain 44. (Rasmussen)

Also, check out CQ Politics Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

We're re-arranging the format again at the suggestion of several readers, to show horse race results at the top of the page with the more detailed summaries of state polls on Senate races in alphabetical order below.

Each summary will contain CQ Politics' race rating. Today we are making the following race ratings changes:

  • Georgia, from "Republican Favored" to "Leans Republican."
  • Minnesota, from "Leans Republican" to "No Clear Favorite."
  • Virginia, from "Democrat Favored" to "Safe Democratic."

Here are today's updated polls:

  • Alaska: Stevens 49, Begich 48. (Rasmussen Reports)
  • Georgia: Chambliss 50, Martin 44. (Rasmussen Reports)
  • Minnesota: Franken 43, Coleman 37. (Rasmussen Reports)
  • New Hampshire: Shaheen 51, Sununu 42. (ARG)
  • New Jersey: Lautenberg 51, Zimmer 37. (Rasmussen Reports)

To keep up with our race ratings, you can also go to our Senate Races to Watch page.

At the request of some of our readers, we've tweaked the format of our general election match-ups between John McCain and Barack Obama by putting the topline figures for update states up top, and reordering the more detailed rundowns of states alphabetically. The summary for each state includes how CQ Politics is rating the race.

Here are the states we're updating today.

  1. Georgia: McCain 54, Obama 45. (Rasmussen Reports); McCain 50, Obama 43. (Strategic Vision)
  2. Minnesota: Obama 52, McCain 45. (Rasmussen Reports); Obama 47, McCain 46 (ARG)
  3. Missouri: McCain 49, Obama 46. (ARG)
  4. Montana: McCain 50, Obama 45. (ARG)
  5. New Hampshire: Obama 52, McCain 43. (ARG)
  6. Ohio: Obama 48, McCain 45. (ARG)
  7. Texas: McCain 57, Obama 38. (ARG)
  8. Pennsylvania: Obama 54, McCain 40. (Strategic Vision)
  9. Virginia: Obama 51, McCain 43. (Public Policy Polling)
  10. West Virginia: Obama 50, McCain 42. (ARG)

Visit our Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

We've updated Ohio, Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Arkansas, Massachusetts, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Vermont, North Carolina, Kansas, Kentucky, California and Florida in our round-up of state-by-state general election match-ups between Barack Obama and John McCain. We are also putting three states into different categories. Indiana and North Carolina move from "Republican Favored" to "Leans Republican." And Poll Tracker sheepishly admits it got out of synch with our race ratings team, and is moving Pennsylvania from "Democrat Favored" to "Leans Democratic."

Visit our Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electoral scenario.

Today we update Ohio ("No Clear Favorite"), Michigan ("Leans Democrat"), New Hampshire ("No Clear Favorite"), New Mexico ("No Clear Favorite"), Pennsylvania ("Democrat Favored"), Virginia ("Leans Republican"), Florida ("No Clear Favorite"), Minnesota ("Leans Democratic"), North Carolina ("Leans Republican"), Georgia ("Republican Favored"), New Jersey ("Safe Democrat"), South Dakota ("Safe Republican") and Wisconsin ("Leans Democrat") in our round-up of state-by-state general election match-ups between Barack Obama and John McCain.

Visit our Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electorial scenario.

Here's a summary of our race ratings categories. Use this link for background on how we arrive at them

  • No Clear Favorite, for races that are deemed to close to call.
  • Leans Democratic and Leans Republican, for highly competitive races in which the named party is perceived to have at least a slight edge, but in which an upset is a highly plausible possibility.
  • Democrat Favored and Republican Favored, for races in which the named party has a clearer advantage and is likely to win, though an upset cannot be completely ruled out.
  • Safe Democratic and Safe Republican, for races in which the named party is viewed as certain to win.

Today we update Ohio (the ninth poll of the state so far this week), Michigan (where two new polls show Barack Obama and John McCain in a statistical tie), North Carolina (where the latest poll shows the race as a tie), Missouri (statistically tied) and Illinois, South Carolina, Maine, Connecticut and Tennessee.

We've decided to do a little redecorating on our page of state-by-state match-ups between Obama and McCain by grouping states according to which CQ Politics race rating category they fall. You'll see some instances where you may wonder why we gave a particular rating to a state, when the polls don't seem to clearly indicate the same outcome. The answer is that polls are only one factor we take into account when we rate a race. For a fuller explanation, read the column by our Rajah of Ratings, Bob Benenson, who discusses all the elements that go into our decisions. And, also visit our Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electorial scenario.

Here's a summary of the categories:

  • No Clear Favorite, for races that are deemed to close to call.
  • Leans Democratic and Leans Republican, for highly competitive races in which the named party is perceived to have at least a slight edge, but in which an upset is a highly plausible possibility.
  • Democrat Favored and Republican Favored, for races in which the named party has a clearer advantage and is likely to win, though an upset cannot be completely ruled out.
  • Safe Democratic and Safe Republican, for races in which the named party is viewed as certain to win.

We've decided to do a little redecorating on our page of state-by-state match-ups between Barack Obama and John McCain by grouping states according to which CQ Politics race rating category they fall. You'll see some instances where you may wonder why we gave a particular rating to a state, when the polls don't seem to clearly indicate the same outcome. The answer is that polls are only one factor we take into account when we rate a race. For a fuller explanation, read the column by our Rajah of Ratings, Bob Benenson, who discusses all the elements that go into our decisions. And, also visit our Presidential election maps which give you four different ways to look at the race, including one that lets you build your own electorial scenario.

Here's a summary of the categories:

  • No Clear Favorite, for races that are deemed to close to call.
  • Leans Democratic and Leans Republican, for highly competitive races in which the named party is perceived to have at least a slight edge, but in which an upset is a highly plausible possibility.
  • Democrat Favored and Republican Favored, for races in which the named party has a clearer advantage and is likely to win, though an upset cannot be completely ruled out.
  • Safe Democratic and Safe Republican, for races in which the named party is viewed as certain to win.

Our latest round-up of match-ups between Barack Obama and John McCain updates 33 states, largely because of an outpouring of polls from American Research Group, and a bunch more from CNN/Time/Opinion Research and Rasmussen Reports. Also, check out CQ Politics' election forecasts for detailed stories on races in each state from the tops of the tickets down. Also go to our Presidential Election Maps to see our calls and use our Scenario Builder to make your own.

  • Florida: Obama and McCain are tied at 48 percent each among registered voters in a CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll conducted Sept. 14-16. The margin of error is 3.5 percent. A Fox News/Rasmussen Reports survey conducted Sept. 14 had McCain leading Obama 49 percent to 44 percent with 2 percent each for Ralph Nader and Libertarian Bob Barr and 3 percent undecided in. The margin of error was 4.5 percent. The two were tied in its last survey. McCain had stronger support among his party than Obama did among Democrats: 86 percent to 70 percent with 21 percent of Democrats saying they will vote for McCain. McCain also upped his lead over Obama by 2 points to 50 percent to 45 percent with 5 percent undecided in a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Sept. 6-7. The margin of error was 3.1 percent. Obama's problem appeared to be that as white voters move out of the undecided camp, they were mostly headed for McCain. Obama was staying close because of his 7 point lead among Hispanic voters (13 percent of the sample) and 78 point lead among blacks (16 percent of the sample). Republicans have carried the state in four of the last five elections including, of course, the hotly-contested outcome in 2000 where the state was awarded to George Bush by a hair. CQ Politics' Election Forecast has "No Clear Favorite here.

Today we update New Jersey, North Carolina, Maine and Mississippi in our state round-up of Senate race polls. Also, check out our state-by-state election forecasts for detailed stories on races in each state from the tops of the tickets down.

  • New Jersey: Democrat Frank Lautenberg leads former Republican Rep. Dick Zimmer 51 percent to 40 percent with 1 percent choosing "other" and 8 percent undecided among likely voters sampled in a Marist Poll conducted Sept. 5-8. The margin of error is 3.5 percent. A Quinnipiac University conducted Aug. 4-10 had Lautenberg ahead by a closer 48 percent to 41 percent margin with 11 percent undecided in a survey of likely voters by. The margin of error is 2.6 percent. Although the lead doesn't look insurmountable, Quinnipiac's Clay Richards said, "It's summer and voters aren't paying a lot of attention to this race. When they do, the incumbent's lead may get bigger - if voters don't get too concerned about the Senator's age." Those polled believed that Lautenberg was too old to serve another 6 years by a 55 percent to 39 percent margin, and that even included 50 percent of Democrats. But that doesn't appear to be helping Zimmer whose own problem is that 62 percent of voters don't know enough about him to form an opinion. A Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Aug. 4 had Lautenberg ahead 51 percent to 33 percent. That was up from his 13 point lead last month. Lautenberg leads 45 percent to 28 percent among unaffiliated voters and by 60 percent to 25 percent among women, while Zimmer leads 43 percent to 40 percent among men. Lautenberg's favorable-to-unfavorable numbers are 48 percent to 45 percent and Zimmer's are 37 percent to 41 percent. A Strategic Vision poll conducted July 11-13 had Lautenberg ahead 48 percent to 32 percent with 20 percent undecided. CQ Politics rates this race "Democrat Favored."