Poll Tracker

Daggett's vote share on election day is likely the key to the race, but its unclear whether a large turn-out for him would ultimately benefit Christie or Corzine more. Conventional wisdom has held that Daggett is taking more voters from Christie than Corzine, but in the latest survey, 39 percent of likely Daggett voters said they would back the Democrat second, compared to 29 percent who would pick Christie second. Seventeen percent said they wouldn't vote.

Overall, Daggett voters are much less certain than their counterparts of their final vote. Thirty-eight percent of his backers said they might change their mind on election day, versus just 10 percent of Christie voters and 13 percent of Corzine voters.

A majority -- 53 percent -- of voters continue to hold an unfavorable opinion of Corzine, including 64 percent of independents. Christie's favorable and unfavorable ratings are essentially even; 41 percent view him favorably to 40 percent who view him unfavorably. Daggett is the only one with a significant net favorable ratings -- 23 percent to 17 percent -- but 57 percent of respondents said they hadn't heard enough about Daggett to form an opinion.