This Poll Has McDonnell Up by 19

October 20, 2009 5:54 PM | | Comments (0)

A SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 17-19 gives Republican Bob McDonnell a commanding 19-point lead over Democrat Creigh Deeds in the Nov. 3 governor's race in Virginia, an outlier in a series of recent polls that have given McDonnell a steady but smaller edge.

The most recent survey, conducted of 595 adults who say they are likely to vote in the election in two weeks, gives McDonnell a 29-point lead among men and an 8-point lead among women.

Most polls have given McDonnell a healthy lead among political independents, though his 71 percent to 27 percent advantage among unaffiliated voters in this poll is staggering.

Another of the survey's anomalous results is that McDonnell gets 31 percent of the African-American vote, a constituency that usually gives 90 percent of its votes to Democratic candidates. Other surveys have McDonnell winning less than 10 percent of the black vote.

A Clarus Research Group poll taken Oct. 18-19 gave McDonnell an 8-point lead over Deeds, 49 percent to 41 percent.

CQ Politics rates the Virginia governor's race as Leans Republican.

To follow the 2009 and 2010 governors' races, check out CQ Politics' election map.

-- Greg Giroux

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Categories: SurveyUSA

Tags: Deeds, Governor, McDonnell, Virginia

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