Obama: Support Fairly Steady, But Disapproval Jumps

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The job approval ratings for President Barack Obama have inarguably declined since his Jan. 20 inauguration, as the soaring promises of change on which he was elected last November meet the rough-and-tumble of the legislative and political processes.

But Obama's problem in pressing his policy agenda has not been a serious erosion in his base of supporters, according to the latest survey conducted by the polling unit at Marist College in Poughkeepsie, N.Y.

It is, rather, a sharp increase in the numbers of those voters who now say they disapprove of how Obama is handling his responsibilities. And the poll suggests that one of the president's most pressing challenges is to win back the support of independent voters, who began the year predisposed to Obama by a wide margin but are now split roughly down the middle.

The Marist poll of 913 registered voters -- conducted Oct. 7, 8 and 12 and carrying a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points -- showed 53 percent of all respondents approved of Obama's job performance. That is down just a tad from 55 percent in the unit's August national poll and from 56 percent in a poll published April 8.

But the disapproval rate has jumped to 41 percent, from 30 percent in that April 8 poll and from 35 percent in August.

The biggest dropoffs in approval over the six-month period were among the respondents identified as independents. In the early April poll, 53 percent of independents approved of Obama's performance, while in October, 45 percent said the same. That compares to 47 percent who said they disapprove, up significantly from 28 percent in early April.

Republicans' disapproval also jumped from 59 percent in early April to 74 percent in early October. But the segment of Republican voters who approve of Obama's efforts has not dropped dramatically, slipping to 21 percent in the most recent poll from 25 percent six months earlier.

One major reason for this is that there are far fewer Republicans and independents who aren't sure what they think about Obama. In early April, 20 percent of independents and 16 percent of Republicans told Marist they were unsure whether they approved or disapproved. In early October, the comparable figures were 8 percent for independents and 5 percent for Republicans.

Obama remains strongly popular among Democrats, but his support has eroded slightly over the past few months, a period in which some liberal activists have criticized him for not taking a stronger line in favor of a "public option" in the health care debate and for pursuing an ongoing U.S. military presence in Afghanistan. The most recent Marist approval rating for Obama among Democrats was 84 percent positive, 11 percent negative and 5 percent unsure, down from 90-6-4 in August and 88-4-8 in early April.

The regional breakdown in the Marist poll also may provide some comfort for Democratic candidates who will be facing voters in the 2010 midterm elections -- except for those in the South. Southern voters were the only respondents who disapproved of Obama (52 percent) more than approved (42 percent). Obama had much more favorable job approval ratings in the Northeast (61-34 percent), the Midwest (57-35) and the West (58-37).

    Comments

  1. People are waking up to this disaster.

    Posted by: Field Marshal Author Profile Page | October 14, 2009 6:32 PM

  2. http://www.slate.com/id/2232443/

    All is fair in warfare. (unless you are a US soldier)

    As for polls, quite predictable and Independents are not very pleased. Perhaps the biggest objection is the lame tactics. Didn't Democrats learn anything from the Republicans?

    Posted by: maxtrue Author Profile Page | October 15, 2009 4:15 PM

  3. http://people-press.org/report/551/

    Pew also notes that the majority of Americans would support the use of force to prevent Iran from obtaining nukes.

    Posted by: maxtrue Author Profile Page | October 15, 2009 5:00 PM

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