Many New Jersey Voters Not Sold on Governor Candidates

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The New Jersey electorate is still in flux about its choice for governor, according to findings in two new polls from the New York Times and Rasmussen Reports.

The New York Times poll, conducted Oct. 9 -13, found that 30 percent of likely voters might change their minds about their vote before the Nov. 3 election. The margin of error was plus or minus 4 percent.

And the Rasmussen Reports poll found that 20 percent of Republican Chris Christie's backers and 27 percent of those supporting Democrat incumbent Jon Corzine said they are not certain about their choice, while a whopping 57 percent of those backing independent Chris Daggett said they may still change their minds. Rasmussen's margin of error was also plus or minus 4 percent.

With the race so close -- Corzine led Christie 40 percent to 37 percent among likely voters in the New York Times poll and Christie was up on Corzine 45 to 41 percent among likely voters according to Rasmussen -- the election is likely to comes down to which side can turn out their voters and how Dagget ultimately performs.

The independent pulled 9 percent in the Rasmussen poll and 14 percent, according to the New York Times.

Sixty percent of New Jersey residents said they did not know enough to form an opinion of Daggett, according to the Times. And Rasmussen found that less than a third -- 32 percent -- of voters statewide knew Daggett was the candidate endorsed by the Newark Star-Ledger last week, a major coup for his campaign.

As Rasmussen's analysis of the poll results observed, "Third-party candidates typically lose support in the final weeks of a campaign" because "their supporters eventually decide to vote for the lesser of two evils among the major party candidates."

And that is exactly how New Jersey voters are viewing their choices among the two major parties. A majority of likely voters have unfavorable views of Corzine and Christie. And more than a third of likely voters supporting Christie or Corzine had reservations about their candidate, they told the Times. Twenty-two percent of Corzine backers and 31 percent of Christie backers said they were supporting the candidate because they disliked their other options.

CQ Politics currently rates the race as Leans Republican.

To follow the 2009 and 2010 governors' races, check out CQ Politics' election map.

-- Emily Cadei

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