A second survey in recent days has Bob McDonnell seemingly pulling away from Creigh Deeds in the Nov. 3 election for Virginia governor.
A Public Policy Polling survey taken Oct. 16-19 gives Republican nominee McDonnell a 52 percent to 40 percent advantage over Democrat Deeds. PPP's survey three weeks ago had McDonnell had by just five points.
The PPP poll came on the heels of a SurveyUSA poll conducted Oct. 17-19 that pegged McDonnell's lead at 19 points. Most surveys in the past two months have given McDonnell a lead in the high single digits.
Deeds continues to be hampered by a high unfavorable rating (48 percent) that exceeds his favorable rating (41 percent). He's polling poorly among political independents and voters over age 65; the latter group, which usually has a strong turnout, is backing McDonnell over Deeds by 60 percent to 32 percent.
By a margin of 54 percent to 28 percent, voters think that Deeds has spent too much time attacking McDonnell for a thesis he wrote two decades ago as a student at the law school founded by religious broadcaster Pat Robertson.
Democrats are decidedly less enthusiastic than Republicans about the governor's election. Though Barack Obama carried Virginia last year by 53 percent to 46 percent over John McCain, the electorate that is projected to participate in this lower-turnout "off-year" gubernatorial election will skew Republican: the PPP's poll sample of 666 likely voters was 51 percent for McCain and 45 percent for Obama.
Fifty-four percent of McCain voters say they are "very excited" about their vote for governor, compared to just 34 percent of Obama voters who said the same.
Deeds has been trying to gin up his party's base voters. Obama will campaign by hosting a campaign visit Oct. 27 from President Obama in Norfolk.
CQ Politics rates the Virginia governor's race as Leans Republican.
To follow the 2009 and 2010 governors' races, check out CQ Politics' election map.
-- Greg Giroux
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Comments
[By a margin of 54 percent to 28 percent, voters think that Deeds has spent too much time attacking McDonnell for a thesis he wrote two decades ago as a student at the law school founded by religious broadcaster Pat Robertson.]
Here we have a "No Duh" moment, if there ever was one.
All we are missing now is MNF's "Dandy Don" Meredith singing "Turn Out the Lights, the Party's Over".
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