Eye on the Senate: 'Undecided' Leads Among New York Democrats

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Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand trails Rep. Carolyn Maloney, a likely primary rival, 23 percent to 27 percent, in a new Quinnipiac University Polling Institute survey that suggests that contest could be anybody's race.

Of the registered Democrats who responded to the poll, 44 percent called themselves undecided.

Labor activist Jonathan Tasini was barely on the boards, as the favorite of 4 percent of respondants.

Gillibrand and Maloney both led Republican Rep. Peter T. King by 16 percentage points in a hypothetical general election match-up, with 26 percent undecided if Gillibrand is the nominee and 30 percent undecided if the nominee is Maloney.

Gillibrand's ratings have held steady since her appointment to the Senate in January to replace Hillary Rodham Clinton.

While she has made strides winning over Democratic party elites, just 25 percent of rank-and-file voters hold a favorable opinion of her, the same as in January. Ten percent view her unfavorably and 63 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Maloney is even less known to voters, with 24 percent holding a favorable opinion and 67 percent saying they haven't heard enough about her.

In the governor's race, Quinnipiac's polling echoes a Siena Research Institute poll released earlier this week which suggest incumbent David A. Paterson's numbers may have bottomed out. Twenty-eight percent of voters rated Paterson favorably, compared to 24 percent in May. He still trails well behind Attorney General Andrew Cuomol in a hypothetical primary match-up - 20 percent to 57 percent.

Cuomo polled far ahead of former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani in a general election, a Republican, 51 percent to 39 percent, while Paterson trailed Giuliani 34 percent to 52 percent. The shift in Giuliani's fortunes can largely be attributed to independent voters, who supported Cuomo over Giuliani 45 percent to 40 percent, but prefer Giuliani to Paterson 57 percent to 25 percent.

The survey was conducted June 16 to 21. Quinnipiac polled 2,477 registered voters, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points. The portion of the poll involving 1,048 Democrats has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

To see how the 2010 Senate races are shaping up, check out the CQ Politics' election map.

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