Most New Yorkers Expect Governor to Pick Kennedy for Senate

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In another poll on who should fill the Hillary Clinton seat, voters in New York say 33 percent to 29 percent that Gov. David Paterson should name Caroline Kennedy over Attorney General Andrew Cuomo even though they are split on whether she is qualified, with 41 percent saying she's not and 40 percent saying she is, according to a Quinnipiac University survey conducted Dec. 17-21. The margin of error is 3.4 points.

Voters believe Paterson will pick Kennedy by a 48 percent to 25 percent margin.

Two previous polls differed on voter preferences. a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Dec. 8-11 had Kennedy way ahead of Cuomo at 44 percent to 23 percent. A Siena College poll docuted Dec. 8-11 had Cuomo edging Kennedy 26 percent to 23 percent overall, and by 30 percent to 28 percent among Democrats.

In the Quinnipiac survey, Kennedy leads Cuomo 41 percent to 27 percent among Democrats while Cuomo leads 33 percent to 20 percent among Republicans and 33 percent to 30 percent among independents. The gender differences are small. Both run fairly evenly upstate and in the suburbs, but Kennedy has a 15 point lead in New York City.

Cuomo's favorable to unfavorable ratio is 55 percent to 11 percent with 32 percent saying they hadn't heard enough about him to form an opinion, while kennedy's is 46 percent to 17 percent with 36 percent not knowing enough about her.

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