Obama Maintains Lead in NYT/CBS Poll, Enjoys "Enthusiasm" Advantage

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Differing somewhat from the other recent national polls showing a dead heat race - and one that even had John McCain ahead - a New York Times/CBS News poll conducted Aug. 15-19 had Barack Obama with the same margin over McCain that he held in July: 45 percent to 39 percent with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 points. Seventy percent of voters say they had their minds made up - a percentage reflected also among Obama and McCain supporters - while 29 percent said it was too early to say.

Like all the other polls, this one found a huge enthusiasm gap. Forty-three percent of Obama supporters are enthusiastic compared to 14 percent for McCain. Obama has another 48 percent who are satisfied, and McCain has 67 percent in that camp, but the Republican ranks have 17 percent who describe themselves as dissatisfied.

Obama leads McCain among Democrats, liberals, African Americans, voters under age 45 and women. And he now leads with working class whites, a change from last month. But he still has his nagging problems with supporters of Hillary Clinton, a quarter of whom say they are undecided. McCain leads among conservatives and white evangelicals. Independents are divided.

The economy is cited as the campaign's top issue by 36 percent with Iraq second at 17 percent. But 70 percent of voters say neither candidate is doing enough to address the economy. A bright spot for Obama, given McCain's superior numbers on foreign policy experience, may be that voters want the next President to focus on domestic issues over foreign issues by 77 percent to 8 percent.

Seventy-two percent of voters think McCain is very or somewhat likely to be an effective commander-in-chief compared to 59 percent for Obama. That's a 10 point decline for McCain since July.

Voters say that Obama says what he thinks they want to hear as opposed to what he believes by a 51 percent to 42 percent margin, while 49 percent think McCain says what he believes compared to 44 percent who say he says what they want to hear.

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