Poll Tracker

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics has weighed in with its latest poll and it shows a much tighter race than the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll from yesterday. Barack Obama leads John McCain 41 percent to 40 percent and a fairly high 19 percent undecided. (When Ralph Nader and "other" are eliminated, Obama's lead is 3 points, which is exactly the margin of error). The survey was conducted July 22-23. Last month, Obama led by 4 points and the undecideds were 14 percent. The Journal/NBC poll, conducted July 18-21, had Obama ahead 47 percent to 41 percent.

The major target of opportunity is among independents. Those that have made a choice, for now, split 34 percent to 32 percent for Obama but but 34 percent are still undecided.

The poll asked a couple of questions similar to the Journal/NBC poll on the excitement factor of each man's supporters and how "scared" a voter would be by an Obama McCain victory. Twenty-three percent of all voters would be enthusiastic about Obama as the next President and 44 percent of Democrats felt that way. Thirteen percent of all voters felt that way about McCain and that included 29 percent of Republicans. On the flip side, 19 percent were "scared" of an Obama presidency compared to 14 percent for McCain. In the Journal/NBC poll, 44 percent of Obama supporters were excited about their candidate compared to 14 percent for McCain among his supporters, and voters said by a 55 percent to 35 percent margin that Obama was the riskier choice.