John McCain has closed the gap with Barack Obama in the key swing states of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin, according to a Quinnipiac University/Washington Post/Wall Street Journal survey conducted July 14-22. (You can find the Quinnipiac numbers here and an easy-to-scan Washington Post interactive graphic here).
The summary:
- Colorado: McCain leads 46 percent to 44 percent with the margin of error at 2.6 percent. Obama lead by 5 points in late June. The state has gone Republican the last three elections, though by less than 5 points in 2004.
- Michigan: Obama still leads here, by 46 percent to 42 percent with a 2.4 percent margin of error. That's down two points from the last poll. Michigan has gone Democrat in the last five elections with the only Republican to win being the first George Bush in 1988.
- Minnesota: Obama is ahead 46 percent to 44 percent with a 2.8 percent margin of error. His previous lead was 17 points. Democrats have won the last five elections here, but the margin in 2004 and 2000 was 3.5 percent or less.
- Wisconsin: Obama leads 50 percent to 39 percent with a 3 percent margin of error. That's also down two points since the last poll. Democrats have carried the state in the last five elections, but by less than one point in 2004 and 2000.
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