Poll Tracker

A Quinnipiac/Wall Street Journal/Washington Post poll released today found Barack Obama with significant leads over John McCain in Colorado (49-44, margin of error +/- 2.7), Michigan, (48-42, +/- 2.6), Minnesota (54-37, +/- 2.5), and Wisconsin (52-39, +/- 2.5). Obama's lead in each of these states come from strong support among his base coalition of women, African-Americans and young voters. He has a large lead among independents - Obama bests McCain in that demographic by margins ranging from 8 to 21 percent in each state.

The Minnesota and Wisconsin results suggest McCain has a ways to go to make these states competitive, and Obama's advantages in Michigan and Colorado - though not large - suggest he's starting the general election in a good postion in these crucial swing states.

According to Peter Brown, assistant director at Quinnipiac, "November can't get here soon enough for Sen. Barack Obama. He has a lead everywhere, and, if nothing changes between now and November, he will make history." However, Brown cautions the Obama campaign against premature celebration: "His lead nationally, and double digits in some key states, is not hugely different from where Sen. John Kerry stood four years ago at this point in the campaign."