More Dems Believe Clinton is Stronger Against McCain than Obama

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In a sharp reversal from March, more Democrats believe Hillary Clinton is the stronger candidate against John McCain compared to Barack Obama, according to a poll conducted April 28-29 by Fox News/Opinion Dynamics. Forty-eight percent of Democrats say that, versus 38 percent who give Obama the better chance. In mid-March, Obama had led Clinton by 10 points on this score. The numbers may reflect the campaign stumbles Obama has had in recent weeks, prompting some Democrats to believe he is not ready for prime time in a general election contest. One finding of this poll (below) is that a large majority of voters across partisan lines believe that Obama has been hurt by the Jeremiah Wright controversy.

Democrats want Clinton to win the party’s nomination by a 44 percent to 41 percent over Obama with 8 percent saying “neither” and 7 percent “don’t know.” However, the margin of error for the Democratic sample is 5 percent. Statistically, it’s not much change from March when the numbers were Clinton by 40 percent to 38 percent. Clinton did, though, cut into Obama’s edge among independents. In mid-March he led Clinton 30 percent to 21 percent, with a big undecided, and now his lead is 33 percent to 30 percent.

Here are some other poll highlights:

  • Seventy percent of all voters believe the Wright story has damaged Obama’s campaign, and two-thirds or more of voters of all political persuasions subscribe to that view. Forty-five percent of all voters say they care a great deal or somewhat about Obama’s association with Wright with 62 percent of Republicans and 40 percent of independents in that camp, and 36 percent of Democrats holding that view. Forty-four percent of all voters say the association would make them less likely to vote for Obama. Along partisan lines, 36 percent of Democrats say that, 59 percent of Republicans and 39 percent of independents.

  • Fox asked Clinton and Obama supporters who they would like to see as the nominee if their own choice didn’t win, and gave voters the option of choosing Al Gore. Clinton supporters favored Gore to Obama by 54 percent to 31 percent, while Obama backers favored Gore to Clinton 46 percent to 44 percent.

  • Matched-up with McCain, Clinton runs statistically tied with him, at 45 percent to his 44 percent, with 11 percent saying “don’t know,” and the margin of error at 3 percent. McCain leads Obama 46 percent to 43 percent with 11 percent making no choice. Both results were not much changed since March.

  • Voters are divided on whether Clinton is honest and trustworthy, with 47 percent saying yes, and 46 percent saying no. Obama gets positive marks by a 54 percent to 35 percent margin and McCain tops them all with 60 percent to 29 percent. The number of Democrats who find Clinton and Obama honest and trustworthy are roughly equal, at about two-thirds.

  • Among Democrats, Clinton is seen as tougher than Obama by 58 percent to 20 percent; Obama is seen as more humble by 44 percent to 19 percent, and Clinton is seen as more arrogant by 47 percent to 24 percent.

  • Voters reject the idea that McCain is too old. Among all voters, 77 percent say he is not; and more than two-thirds of Democrats and independents say he is not.

  • Forty percent of all voters cite the economy as the top issue, with 49 percent of Democrats making that choice compared to 28 percent of Republicans and 39 percent of independents. Iraq is second among all voters at 15 percent, and there the partisan differences are smaller. Terrorism and national security tie among all voters at 9 percent, and that concern is shared much more by Republicans (15 percent) and independents (11 percent) than Democrats (5 percent).

  • With worries about the economy at a high, three-quarters of all voters say they have tried to reduce personal and household spending, with 84 percent of Democrats in that camp, 77 percent of independents and 63 percent of Republicans.

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