Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are in a statistical dead heat in Indiana, one of two states that hold the next primaries on May 6, according to a Research 2000 poll conducted April 21-24. In North Carolina, the other May 6 state, polls have consistently shown Obama with a lead. The Indiana poll has Obama at 48 percent and Clinton at 47 percent with 2 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 points.
A second poll, this one for the Indianapolis Star-WTHR-TV, also showed the race to be a toss-up with Obama leading 41 percent to 38 percent, within the survey’s 4.2 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted April 20-23. But this poll showed a much higher number of undecided voters – 21 percent.
And a third - American Research Group - has Clinton ahead of Obama 50 percent to 45 percent with 3 percent undecided. The margin of error is 4 percent and the poll was conducted April 23-24.
Voters in the Research 2000 survey say by a 48 percent to 23 percent margin that Clinton has run a more negative campaign than Obama with 21 percent saying both shared the blame equally. (See an earlier Pew survey for voters’ perception of the negativity in the race).
In general election match-ups, McCain leads Obama 51 percent to 43 percent and Clinton by 52 percent to 41 percent, according to Research 2000. The Star-WTHR poll had Obama ahead of McCain 49 percent to 41 percent and Clinton even with him at 46 percent. The margin of error is 4.4 percent.
In the ARG poll, Clinton leads among white voters (85 percent of the sample) by 55 percent to 39 percent, while Obama leads among black voters (11 percent of the sample) by 01 percent to 7 percent. Reflecting the normal demographic splits, Obama leads among men voters, Clinton among women and Clinton among voters above 50.
See also:
Obama and Clinton Seek to Piece Together Indiana Obama and Clinton Seek to Piece Together Indiana | Los Angeles Times
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Comments
In the second poll, it's actually Obama 41 and Clinton 38, please correct the error. THANKS!
Posted by: justthefacts
| April 25, 2008 12:05 PM
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