Still Neck-And-Neck In Texas With A Week To Go

February 26, 2008 11:37 AM | | Comments (0)

Polls in Texas continue to show a tight race between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in a state where, earlier this month, she had been enjoying a double-digit lead. One new poll today had them exactly even, and the other with Obama ahead, but almost exactly by the margin of error.

The two are tied at 48 percent each in a Public Policy Polling survey conducted Feb.23-24. The margin of error is 4.7 percent. Democrats listed the top issues in this order: economy and jobs (38 percent), Iraq (25 percent) and health Care (12 percent). Obama and Clinton ran relatively close together among voters who listed the economy and Iraq as top issues, but she far outpaced him among those who cared most about health care. We posted the other poll by SurveyUSA earlier which showed Obama ahead 49 percent to 45 percent with a 3.8 percent margin of error.

Here is a demographic breakdown among Democrats, which demonstrates how important which groups turn out in greater force, particularly when it comes to Hispanic voters:

  • White Voters (45 percent of sample): Obama leads 51 percent to 44 percent.
  • Hispanic Voters (29 percent of sample): Clinton leads 68 percent to 27 percent.
  • Black Voters (22 percent of sample): Obama leads 73 percent to 27 percent.
  • Women voters (54 percent of sample): Clinton leads 52 percent to 44 percent.
  • Men Voters (46 percent of sample): Obama leads 52 percent to 44 percent.
  • Voters aged 18-29 (12 percent of sample): Clinton leads 53 percent to 40 percent.
  • Voters aged 30-45 (29 percent of sample): Obama leads 54 percent to 41 percent.
  • Voters aged 56-55 (44 percent of sample): Obama leads 50 percent to 47 percent.
  • Voters over 65 (15 percent of sample): Clinton leads 59 percent to 37 percent.

On the Republican side, John McCain leads Mike Huckabee 52 percent to 36 percent with a 4.8 percent margin of error. Republican voters listed Iraq as the top issue in the campaign (25 percent), followed by moral and family values (21 percent), the economy and jobs (20 percent) and immigration (18 percent).

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