Beyond Ohio And Texas, Obama Catching Clinton in Pennsylvania

February 27, 2008 12:51 PM | | Comments (0)

Read the full Quinnipiac University poll

Hillary Clinton is already struggling to hold off Barack Obama in next Tuesday’s Ohio and Texas primaries, but if she manages to do that, she looks to face yet another stiff challenge from Obama in the next big state, Pennsylvania on April 22.

Obama has closed to within 6 points of Clinton in Pennsylvania, where she now leads by only 49 percent to 43 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll conducted Feb.21-25. The margin of error is 4.4 percent. In mid-February, she had a 52 percent to 36 percent lead in Quinnipiac’s survey and a 44 percent to 32 percent lead in a poll by Franklin & Marshall. Obama’s surge was powered by younger votes in the 18-to-44 age group who now support him over Clinton by 58 percent to 41 percent, a reversal from Clinton’s 52 percent to 41 percent lead in the previous poll.

In a general election match-up in the state, John McCain would be in a statistical dead heat with either Democrat. Clinton leads him 44 percent to 42 percent, and Obama leads him 42 percent to 40 percent. The margin of error is 2.3 percent.

Only 20 percent of all Pennsylvania voters describe the economy as “excellent” or “good,” but strikingly, among Democrats alone, only 9 percent fall into that category. However, 60 percent of all voters in the state say their own personal financial condition is good or excellent. Among all voters, Pennsylvanians believe going to war with Iraq was the wrong thing by a 59 percent to 35 percent margin, with an overwhelming majority of Democrats saying it was wrong, and an overwhelming majority of Republicans supporting the war.

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