A Look At General Election Match-Ups In Eight States

February 22, 2008 2:06 PM | | Comments (0)

SurveyUSA today released hypothetical general election match-ups for eight states. The only states where John McCain runs strongly against both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in this grouping are Oregon and Alabama. Clinton has leads over McCain that are beyond the margin of error in five of the eight states while Obama has statistically signficant leads in four. All these surveys were conducted Feb.15-17.

  • Alabama: McCain beats Clinton 57 percent to 37 percent and Obama by 58 percent to 34 percent. Margin of error is 4.2 percent.
  • California: McCain loses to either Democratic, to Clinton by 58 percent to 35 percent and to Obama by 61 percent to 34 percent. The margin of error for Clinton-McCain was 4.4 percent and 4.3 percent for Obama-McCain.
  • Massachusetts: Clinton beats McCain 52 percent to 43 percent, but Obama’s 48 percent to 46 percent lead is within the poll’s 4.3 percent margin of error.
  • Minnesota: Obama beats McCain decisively by 55 percent to 40 percent, but Clinton’s 49 percent to 45 percent is within the poll’s 4.3 percent margin of error.
  • Missouri: Clinton leads McCain 51 percent to 43 percent, as does Obama, 49 percent to 43 percent. Margin of error is 4.3 percent.
  • New Mexico: Obama bests McCain 55 percent to 40 percent while Clinton has a smaller 50 percent to 45 percent advantage. Margin of error is 4.4 percent.
  • Ohio: Clinton leads McCain 52 percent to 42 percent, while Obama’s lead over McCain, 47 percent to 44 percent, is within the 4.3 percent margin of error.
  • Oregon: This is McCain’s best state of the bunch. Obama is ahead of him by only 48 percent to 47 percent with 6 percent undecided and a 4.3 percent margin of error. McCain leads Clinton 49 percent to 41 percent with 10 percent undecided.

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