I have just one question for the decision-makers at the Republican Governors Association: Why are you running ads attacking Jon Corzine in New Jersey, instead of running ads building up Chris Christie?

As yesterday's Quinnipiac University Polling Institute release makes clear, the communications battle for the next 110 days will be a battle to define Chris Christie in the minds of the 40 percent of New Jersey's likely voters who still have not yet formed an opinion of him.

That's because while Christie is currently capturing the support of 53 percent of the likely voting electorate, his favorable rating is still only 39 percent -- which means that at least 14 percent of the likely voters surveyed (the difference between 53 percent and 39 percent) told the pollster they plan to vote for Christie, even though they don't yet have a favorable opinion of him.

Is Jon Corzine about to throw the long ball?

In the Garden State, GOP gubernatorial nominee Chris Christie's lead over incumbent Democratic Gov. Corzine is large, and growing larger -- 12 points, according to the latest survey by Quinnipiac University's Polling Institute, released this morning.

And Corzine, apparently, believes he may have to throw the long ball. But will his Hail Mary work, or will it end his campaign?

This race is not over, and national GOP leaders looking to tout a New Jersey victory as a "bellwether" would be wise to stay focused on execution for the next 112 days.

Well, we didn't have to wait long for this.

I have no inside knowledge of what I'm about to suggest, other than my knowledge of the way the other side works, gained at the price of too many painful defeats at their hands.

Having properly caveated myself, here's what I think is going on with Jon Corzine and his campaign against Chris Christie for Governor of New Jersey:

State Sen. Kirk Dillard, Republican of DuPage County, Illinois, announced his candidacy for the GOP nomination for governor today, the very same day that Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan announced she would not be running for governor (or for the U.S. Senate, for that matter).

Asked at his announcement speech what he thought of Madigan's declaration, Dillard replied, "She's been a good attorney general and if she wants to stay there, that's fine ... I look forward to having Lisa Madigan as attorney general when I'm the governor."

There's only one problem with Dillard's statement -- there's a Republican candidate by the name of Joe Birkett who's already announced his candidacy for the GOP nomination for, you guessed it, the Attorney General's office.

By the way, arguing against my last post, there actually was a president who had less experience in major public office before winning the presidency than would Sarah Palin, were she to win the White House after only two and a half years as governor -- Woodrow Wilson, who was elected president in 1912 after having been elected governor of New Jersey for the first time in 1910.

Of course, Wilson benefited from the split in the Republican Party -- former President Teddy Roosevelt chose to challenge incumbent president/Roosevelt successor William Howard Taft for the GOP nomination at the 1912 GOP national convention, and, failing to win, had left the GOP to form the Bull Moose Party to contest for the presidency in the general election.

Mark Levin says she's "running for president, get used to it;" Weekly Standard editor Bill Kristol says she could run for president; Charlie Cook agrees with Kristol that she could run for president; but Karl Rove says the decision to resign early would hurt her in a future run for president, and RedState founder Erick Erickson flatly declares "she will not run for any elected office ever again."

What's missing in all the instant analyses of will-she-won't-she is a rather more simple calculus -- not as to whether or not this move will hurt her chances should she choose to run for President down the road, but as to whether or not this move should hurt her chances should she choose to run for President down the road.

As the South Carolina dramedy -- "Sanford and Sin?" -- continues to play out, two things become increasingly evident:

First, potentially former Gov. Mark Sanford is driving his handlers crazy.

Second, his wife Jenny looks less and less like the politician's wife, and more and more like a politician herself -- and a pretty good one, at that.

She's even got her own fan club on Twitter.