According to the unnamed Republican pollster cited in this Ben Smith piece in Politico, "it's only a matter of time" before opposition to same sex marriage literally dies down, and it becomes the law of the land.
That's because different age cohorts skew differently on the question -- opposition to same sex marriage, pollsters agree, is primarily found in the older age groups, while younger voters are much less offended by the proposition, and are, therefore, much more supportive. Consequently, they believe, as older voters eventually pass on to their final reward, and are replaced in the electorate by younger voters who are more tolerant of same sex marriage, the pro-same sex marriage side of the balance sheet will eventually reach a tipping point, and same sex marriage will become law all over the land.
There's just one problem with this analysis, of course -- it assumes that people never change their thinking on matters of public policy -- that, in other words, once a same sex marriage supporter, always a same sex marriage supporter.
And I'm not at all sure that's the case.



