CORRECTED -- Calling Al Michaels

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CORRECTION:

One of the things that's always bothered me most about political journalism is when media types make a mistake, honest or otherwise, but then refuse to acknowledge and correct it when it's called to their attention. As a guy who used to get paid to, among other things, track what the media was saying on a regular basis, it drove me crazy when I found mistakes in copy about my candidates -- but failed to get the reporter to fix the mistake properly.

On Tuesday night, I made an error as I was preparing a piece on the count of absentee ballots in NY23. It wasn't a particularly sophisticated error -- in fact, it was a simple error of transposition, in which I inadvertently turned a 1 into a 7 and a 7 into a 1. Unfortunately, those inadvertently switched numbers formed the basis for what became the blog post below, suggesting that Doug Hoffman just might get mighty close to recount territory.

The difference in the candidates' totals was 3,176. With the transposed numbers back in their proper place, I can safely project that in order even to get into recount range, Doug Hoffman would need a miracle far larger than the Miracle on Ice I referenced.

I want to thank the two faithful readers who brought the mistake to my attention for doing so in such a gracious way.

What follows is the original blog post, error intact:

Calling Al Michaels -- New York 23 May Need You

If the rest of the yet-to-be-counted absentee ballots go the way the first three counties' results do, we're in for a recount in the special election in New York's 23rd Congressional District.

When the day began, there were 7,419 absentee ballots whose votes had not yet been added to the candidates' totals, and the gap separating Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman from Democratic Party candidate Bill Owens was a paltry 3,716 votes.

By mid-afternoon, three counties had tabulated their results:

In Oneida County, Hoffman picked up 446 votes, Owens picked up 219, and GOP nominee Dede Scozzafava picked up 97.

In Madison County, Hoffman picked up 170 votes, Owens picked up 203, and Scozzafava picked up 122.

In Hamilton County, Hoffman picked up 85 votes, Owens picked up 60, and Scozzafava picked up 87.

So in these three first three counties to report their results, Hoffman picked up 47 percent of the absentee ballot vote, while Owens picked up about 32.5 percent, and Scozzafava picked up roughly 20.5 percent.

Adding the results to what was released after last week's recanvass -- the one that showed the gap between Hoffman and Owens at 3,716 votes, instead of the election night reported margin of more than 5,000 -- and Owens' margin over Hoffman has shrunk to just 2,957 votes, with 5,930 absentee ballots left to be counted.

Hoffman is gaining fast -- he cut Owens' margin by 759 votes, out of the 1,489 counted.

That's a slightly better than 1 out of 2 conversation ratio -- but with fewer than 6,000 votes left to be counted, and the gap still at just under 3,000 votes, it may not be enough for Hoffman to pull it out.

But it likely will be close enough for a full recount.

Through the course of the contest, Hoffman liked to point out that he was the chief financial officer of the 1980 Lake Placid Olympics -- the Winter Olympics immortalized by the U.S. Hockey team's improbable upset-for-the-ages victory over the Soviet Union in the semifinal game. "Do you believe in miracles?" asked Al Michaels, in one of the most famous sports calls of all time.

It's still too early to make the call, but perhaps it would be prudent for Hoffman to get hold of Michaels' phone number. He just might be needed for a replay.

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