The New Topography

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Talk Left's Big Tent Democrat looks at new poll numbers in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, seeing a race that still favors Barack Obama but that is closer than it should be. And much of the blame is placed on what is seen as Obama's "refusal" to pick Hillary Clinton as his running mate. 

While the Quinnipiac numbers show Obama leading in all three states, BTD argues that McCain will ultimately win FL and OH because of state demographics, i.e. male and white voters, which aren't correctly tabulated in the survey:

Obama still wins the election because he will flip Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado for sure. But there is no reason why it should be this close. His stubborn refusal to pick Hillary Clinton, his insistence in causing political trouble for himself with the VP pick, will make this a closer election than it should be. The political obtuseness on this critical decision is amazing to me.


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