Now, this isn't the first time Obama has taken a hit, and it is entirely possible that this current downturn is yet another in a series of entirely temporary negative stretches for his campaign. However, in this particular case, I think it is more likely that Obama has suffered some lasting electoral damage.Obama supporters are also taking some criticism from Paul Starr at the American Prospect blog, Tapped, who argues that by not allowing a re-vote in Michigan, Obama supporters may be actually hurting their candidate in the long run:
[T]he burden for the failure falls clearly on Senator Obama’s supporters, who, perhaps understandably, didn’t want to risk the psychological impact of a defeat in Michigan at the end of the primary season.
But having prevented any new vote in Michigan, Obama's campaign may well have given up any moral claim to oppose seating of the delegates elected in January.
Meanwhile, conservatives continue to salivate over Obama's recent drop in the polls in prospective match-ups against both Clinton and John McCain. Over at Red State, Erik Erickson theorizes that Democratic superdelegates will turn on Obama if they don't see an end to the drop in his poll numbers after the Jeremiah Wright story:
[B]ecause of the Clintons effective deployment of the race card within the Democratic Primary, super delegates are getting nervous. They know they were put in place to avoid the party going far left. And they are worried that Obama, the unknown quantity, could be painted as far left by the GOP. The Democrats want to win this year, and, at the end of the day, they'd rather go with the known quantity with a history of winning.
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