Bloggers on the left and the right are dissecting the polls, including today's new Zogby tracking survey, showing John McCain inching into a slight lead in Florida, 35 percent to 31 percent.
As MyDD’s Todd Beeton asks:
Going into the Republican vote in Florida on Tuesday, the polls couldn't be tighter but you can't deny, John McCain has had a heck of a couple days, seeming to shut off Romney's momentum and gaining some of his own. From what I'm hearing, prognosticators would have given it to Romney a couple of days ago without question; now, they're not so certain -- it's a matter of whether the McCain surge is real or just a temporary bump.
But the Atlantic's Marc Ambinder says Romney's overwhelming advertising advantage in the state could make all the difference:
Mitt Romney's had an 8 to 1 television ad advantage in Florida... part of the reason why he's made the competitive. Heck, most of the reason he's made the race competitive has been his ads. According to Neilsen, he's run 4,475 ads compared to John McCain's 470 through 1/22. McCain did not run a single ad until January; Romney ran more ads in September than McCain has run to date.
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