The Eye

"Creigh Deeds has come on strong and barring some major event in the final 36 hours of the campaign looks like he will be the Democratic nominee," said PPP's Dean Debnam . "The Washington Post endorsement was really a game changer, giving him a card to play with suburban voters that complemented his strong support in the rural parts of the state."

PPP says that in the wake of the Post endorsement, Deeds has benefited from a "remarkable increase in support" in vote-rich northern Virginia. Deeds was getting 11 percent of the vote there a little over two weeks ago and now leads Moran in the region 38 percent to 35 percent with 20 percent for McAuliffe. Northern Virginia had been considered a stronghold for Moran whose brother has represented part of the area there since 1990.

The poll also projects that of the 20 percent of independents and 6 percent of Republicans who are likely to turn out and can vote in the primary, Deeds leads 48 percent to 22 percent for McAuliffe and 19 percent for Moran.

McAuliffe suffers from a high unfavorable rating with voters having positive and negative views of him evenly split at 40 percent. Deeds' favorable-to-unfavorable ratio is 57 percent to 14 percent with 29 percent unsure, and Moran's is 47 percent to 23 percent with 30 percent undecided.