Results tagged “al Qaeda” from SpyTalk

A story in Sunday's Washington Post depicting Guantanamo prisoner files in "disarray" is wrong, says the former Pentagon official in charge of terrorist detainee affairs.

According to the Jan. 25 account, Charles D. "Cully" Stimson, who served as deputy assistant defense secretary for detainee affairs in 2006-2007, "said he had persistent problems in attempts to assemble all information on individual cases."

Only "threats to recommend the release or transfer of a detainee" persuaded the CIA to "cough up a sentence or two," Stimson was quoted as saying.

But in a brief interview to double-check his statement Monday afternoon, Stimson maintained, "I never said they were in disarray."
The increasingly bold attacks on NATO supplies in Pakistan should be cause for serious worry, U.S. counterterrorism operatives are saying.

The attacks mean that Islamic extremist fighters in the region are adopting the tactics that their fathers and uncles employed more than a quarter century ago -- with CIA backing - to drive the Soviets out of Afghanistan.

The objective: to choke off supplies to occupying troops on the ground.

"The bad guys understand our operations and what our lifelines are all about," said an analyst with counterterror experience in the region.
If nothing else,  Mumbai closes the chapter on the circa-9/11 terror era, at least for Americans.

The period following Sept. 11, 2001 airline hijackings, in fact, looks like the good ol' days, in light of how al Qaeda has metastacized into the hydra-headed terrorism monster we face today.

Back then, with the remains of the Twin Towers still smoldering, the thinking was that all we had to do was roll up our sleeves  to make fast work of  Osama bin Laden and his gang of cave dwellers. But the fugitive Saudi millionaire's escape into the snows of the Hindu Kush, with the help of the Pakistani army, showed that we were playing in a far more complicated game.

Mumbai puts an exclamation point on it.

Until Mumbai, when it emerged that the terrorists were singling out U.S., along with British and Israeli citizens, most Americans were probably only dimly aware that the beta version of al Qaeda had long been eclipsed by an even more lethal 2.0.

Today, al Qaeda affiliates and wannabees are roiling a crescent-shaped swath of the world ranging from the Philippines across the Indian subcontinent through the Middle East to the westernmost tip of North Africa.  Its émigrés have launched attacks from or in Germany, Britain, France, Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, Spain and Italy. 

But the terror hasn't really touched Americans in demonstrative numbers. Whether by good fortune or the skills of our counterterrorism warriors, or both, we have escaped the Muslim fundamentalist plague infesting the rest of the world.

Mumbai should make clear that our luck may be running out. Luxury hotels where Americans stay cannot be protected in any meaningful sense.

And another thing: That CIA renditions,  Predator missile strikes in Pakistan and more U.S. troops in Afghanistan may not only not solve the problem, they may aggravate it. 

Guns are so 2001-2002.

And back then we had the world's goodwill from the World Trade Center and Pentagon attacks.

The Bush administration squandered it Iraq, immeasurably making the challenge more difficult. 

We can never get that back. 

The election of  a very smart black man with Hussein in his name as President of the United States amounts, at this late point,  to only a slim chance at a fresh start. 

Considerable anxiety has been expressed about the possibility of al Qaeda taking advantage of the handoff of security agencies from the Bush administration to the incoming Obama team.

But according to CIA Director Michael V. Hayden, all's very quiet on the Western front.

For the moment.

Hayden, who headed the eavesdropping National Security Agency before taking the CIA job, said Thursday there had been "no increased chatter" about plots picked up by U.S. intelligence, according to my CQ colleague Tim Starks, who covered Hayden's appearance at The Atlantic Council of the United States, a nonpartisan think tank in Washington. 

"We do not see any real or artificial spike" in that chatter as a result of the election, Hayden said in answer to a question after his speech

On the other hand, Hayden said, "We don't know what we don't know." 

Hayden also said he'd stay on in the Obama administration if asked, Starks reported.

"If asked to stay, I think both of us would seriously consider it," Hayden said of himself and Mike McConnell, the National Intelligence Director. 

But Hayden also said both understand they "serve at the pleasure of the president" and that it was important there be a "personal relationship" between the president and his intelligence chiefs.

During the campaign, Obama repeatedly argued that the Iraq invasion was a mistake, because the main front against terrorism is in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

On Thursday, Hayden sounded like he was getting with the program.

"Today, the flow of money, weapons, and foreign fighters into Iraq is greatly diminished, and Al Qaeda senior leaders no longer point to it as the central battlefield," Hayden said in his formal remarks.

As for al Qaeda, the terrorist organization has suffered "serious setbacks" but is adapting, Hayden said,  and  its safe haven in Pakistan's tribal areas "remains the most clear and present danger to the United States today."

Monday Afternoon Quarterback

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Pentagon Counterterror Teams Go Deep  

It's interesting to speculate on why the expanded operations of Pentagon counterterror teams surfaced in the New York Times today. But one of them has to be that the noses of CIA and State Department officials remain severely out of joint from an initiative launched right after the  9/11 attacks by President Bush and then-Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.

"Shortly after the Sept. 11 attacks, Mr. Bush issued a classified order authorizing the C.I.A. to kill or capture Qaeda militants around the globe," write Times reporters Eric Schmitt and Mark Mazzetti.

"By 2003, American intelligence agencies and the military had developed a much deeper understanding of Al Qaeda's extensive global network, and Mr. Rumsfeld pressed hard to unleash the military's vast firepower against militants outside the combat zones of Iraq and Afghanistan."

According to the Times, a 2004 order identified "15 to 20 countries, including Syria, Pakistan, Yemen, Saudi Arabia and several other Persian Gulf states, where Qaeda militants were believed to be operating or to have sought sanctuary, a senior administration official said."  

Soon enough, American ambassadors, who are supposed to be the top U.S. official in a foreign country, grew increasingly annoyed by Pentagon "cowboys" zipping in and out, congressional committees heard.

But if only because the State Department, and the CIA, couldn't keep DoD out of their sandboxes, they have been supporting the operations, the Times said.

A number of CIA veterans, however, say that the military teams are too often ill equipped for the missions, in terms of language abilities and knowledge of local customs and mores.

And they wonder what will happen when - inevitably, they say - a solider in mufti is caught red-handed in a place like Pakistan or Turkey, where nationalist feelings run high. Show trials - and the threat of executions (not to mention waterboarding) - are not out of the question.

Not that CIA assassins or kidnappers would be treated any better - or  know their way around a foreign country better -- than a veteran Army Special Forces operative, they also concede.

In any event, there's plenty of work to go around to keep everybody busy.

"It is far too easy to criticize CIA," a longtime Special Forces and Delta operative told me last year, "but all their renditions have resulted in far less than 100 detentions.  For an outfit like al Qaeda, which trained tens of thousands in Afghanistan, that doesn't amount to many at all."

Manchurian Candidates, Saudi Style

Tucked into the back of Sunday's New York Times Magazine is a fascinating piece on the Saudi way of dealing with former al Qaeda operatives (some captures, some inherited from Guantanamo).

"Brainwashing lite," the Chinese might call it. Or "re-education," what the North Vietnamese termed the communist dogma they poured into the heads of the southern brethren they defeated in 1975, usually in brutal work camps.

The Saudies have a kinder, gentler way. They board their charges in comfortable seaside dormitories, give them electronic toys and stipends, and talk them out of jihad by challenging their religious rationales for choosing guns and bombs.   

It seems to work, by the students' accounts, anyway.

Writer Katherine Zoepf, who visited the classes, quotes Bernard Haykel, a professor of Near Eastern Studies at Princeton, who says the methods are "consistent with Saudi history, in that you try through nonviolent means to cajole, to bribe, to buy off the opposition."
After first denying that an American raiding party had crossed into Syria, the U.S. command now admits that it sent U.S. Special Forces in hot pursuit of armed Islamist militants who have been using Syria as a sanctuary.

Indeed, it's now claiming  that one of those captured in the raid was was Abu Ghadiya,  "the senior leader of al Qaeda's extensive network that funnels foreign fighters, weapons, and cash from Syria into Iraq," according to an unidentified senior intelligence official.

According to the Long War Journal's Bill Roggio

The raid to capture Ghadiya occurred in the town of Sukkariya near Abu Kamal in eastern Syria, just five miles from the Iraqi border. Four US helicopters crossed the border and two of the helicopters landed to drop off special operations forces, who then proceeded to clear structures.

[Update: A CIA team led the raid, McClatchy reported.]

Last week U.S. Maj. Gen. John Kelly, who is responsible for Anbar province, which extends from Baghdad to the Syrian border, turned up the volume on a longstanding complaint that Syria had become "a sanctuary" for Al Qaeda in Iraq.

"Has the Syrian border stopped you from going after insurgents?" Kelly was asked in an interview  which didn't appear -- a bit awkwardly -- until Monday, in US News & World Report.

"We don't go across the border," Kelly said, "for sure."

Right. Let's call that inoperative.

Killed Top Al Qaeda Operative Was WMD Liaison

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Anyone who doubts Al Qaeda still has designs on unleashing a chemical, biological or radiological weapon upon the West should find the career of Muhammed Moumou, killed in a gun battle with U.S. troops this month, instructive.

Moumou, the Moroccan-born Swedish citizen who operated under several aliases, was reputedly the top Sunni insurgent leader in Iraq when his luck finally ran out in Mosul Oct. 5. He had been arrested in Denmark years back but then deported to Sweden, where he slipped loose again. 

You had to read all the way to the bottom of news accounts about his death, however, for what may have ben the most chilling item on his resume: According to a Dec. 7, 2006 U.S. Treasury Department report, he was AQI's European liaison on chemical and biological weapons.

And, according former CIA operative Charles "Sam" Faddis, he was also a part of Ansar al Islam,  the Al Qaeda affiliate in Kurdish Iraq in 2002-2003, many of whose members escaped because of Pentagon dithering.
 
"This is the organization which we had in our sights in the Summer of 2002, but which the Bush Administration failed to act against. When we finally went in about eight/nine months later, it was too late. Everyone saw the attack coming, and the top targets had fled," Faddis told me.
Anyone who doubts Al Qaeda still has designs on unleashing a chemical, biological or radiological weapon upon the West should find the career of Muhammed Moumou, killed in a gun battle with U.S. troops this month, instructive.

Moumou, the Moroccan-born Swedish citizen who operated under several aliases, was reputedly the top Sunni insurgent leader in Iraq when his luck finally ran out in Mosul Oct. 5. He had been arrested in Denmark years back but then deported to Sweden, where he slipped loose again. 

You had to read all the way to the bottom of news accounts about his death, however, for what may have ben the most chilling item on his resume: According to a Dec. 7, 2006 U.S. Treasury Department report, he was AQI's European liaison on chemical and biological weapons.

And, according former CIA operative Charles "Sam" Faddis, he was also a part of Ansar al Islam,  the Al Qaeda affiliate in Kurdish Iraq in 2002-2003, many of whose members escaped because of Pentagon dithering.
 
"This is the organization which we had in our sights in the Summer of 2002, but which the Bush Administration failed to act against. When we finally went in about eight/nine months later, it was too late. Everyone saw the attack coming, and the top targets had fled," Faddis told me.
Charles "Sam" Faddis, who led a CIA team into northern Iraq following the 9/11 attacks, says the Pentagon's "endless planning and delays" foiled a chance to wipe out a band of al Qaeda leaders who were fleeing American bombs in Afghanistan.

Faddis says the delays, beginning in 2002, also facilitated the escape of some "key" al Qaeda figures, including terrorist scientists who were working on chemical and biological weapons.

"Some died, some are still on the run," Faddis said in a telephone interview Tuesday, following his appearance on NPR's Diane Rehm Show to promote a new book in which he is the central figure, Operation Hotel California: The Clandestine War Inside Iraq  by counterterrorism expert Mike Tucker. 

"The site was physically destroyed ... but certainly the research wasn't destroyed."
The FBI has blocked two of its veteran counterterrorism agents from going public with accusations that the CIA deliberately withheld crucial intelligence before the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks.

FBI Special Agents Mark Rossini and Douglas Miller have asked for permission to appear in an upcoming public television documentary, scheduled to air in January, on pre-9/11 rivalries between the CIA, FBI and National Security Agency.

The program is a spin-off from The Shadow Factory: The Ultra-Secret NSA from 9/11 to the Eavesdropping on America, by acclaimed investigative reporter James Bamford, due out in a matter of days.

The FBI denied Rossini and Miller permission to participate in the book or the PBS "NOVA" documentary, which is also being written and produced by Bamford, on grounds that the FBI "doesn't want to stir up old conflicts with the CIA," according to multiple reliable sources.
"If Iran has sleeper cells here, "we'd be doing something about it," says the head of U.S. Customs and Border Protection, contradicting frequent assertions that the Islamic regime  has secret agents in the U.S. poised to attack domestic targets in retaliation for American or Israeli air strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities. 

U.S. intelligence officials have said that Iran-backed Hezbollah  "retains the capability to strike in the U.S." as FBI Director Robert S. Mueller III told Congress in 2005, or that it might launch attacks on U.S. targets "if it feels its Iranian patron is threatened," as John D. Negroponte put it when he was Director of National Intelligence in 2006. 

But evidence that Iran has anything more than fundraising efforts remains scant.  

The Iranian sleeper agents idea got another bounce this month with the publication of The Secret War With Iran, by the respected Israeli investigative reporter Ronen Bergman, who says that Iran has deployed underground cells in New York and elsewhere. 

But in a little noticed interview with WTOP radio national security correspondent J.J. Green, CPB chief W. Ralph Basham threw cool, if not cold water on the idea.

Report: Yemeni Terrorists Gave Plenty of Warnings

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The terrorists who assaulted the U.S. Embassy in Yemen on Wednesday morning sent plenty of signals that they were planning a major attack, according to a respected West Point counterterrorism journal.

The Combating Terrorism Center at West Point issued its study of Al Qaeda-connected Yemeni terrorists in its monthly journal, The Sentinel, yesterday, within hours of the two-stage attack on the embassy, which left 16 dead.
The attack on the American Embassy in Yemen serves notice that the recent claims of al Qaeda's demise were premature.

Only two days ago, the State Department's top counter-terrorism official claimed that al Qaeda was "imploding" and had "no popular appeal." 

Iraq 'Awakening' Switching Sides Again?

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Marc Lynch, the George Washington University professor who writes the shrewd and engaging Abu Aardvark blog, is musing on worrying news that could deeply complicate any U.S. troop withdrawals from Iraq. 

One of the key Sunni tribes that switched sides last year and linked up with the U.S. under the banner of The Awakening, writes Lynch, may be switching back to killing GIs.

A few days ago, write Lynch, "The Emir of the Islamic Army of Iraq announced a new offensive against American bases and troops."

The Islamic Army is the core of the coalition of 'nationalist-jihadist' insurgency factions which have expressed interest in joining the political process (the Reform and Jihad Front, the Political Council of the Iraqi Resistance) and is one of the key factions believed to have joined up with the Awakenings Councils / Sons of Iraq in force.  Its public break with [al Qaeda in Iraq] in April 2007 was probably the most important turning point in the transformation of the Sunni insurgency.

Read his whole take here.